Recent Eurostat data showing Q2 2026 euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-over-quarter and 1.2% year-over-year—well above prior estimates—has anchored trader sentiment toward moderate expansion, positioning the 0.8-1.1% range as the clear leader in implied probability. ECB staff projections released September 10 revised 2026 annual growth upward to 0.9%, citing resilience in domestic demand and survey indicators despite energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions. Adjusted measures excluding Irish volatility point to a Q3 quarterly pace near 0.2%, consistent with the market's favored band for the year-over-year print. The October 30 preliminary flash estimate remains the key resolution catalyst, with risks centered on further energy volatility or stronger export momentum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert0.8-1.1% 55%
1.2-1.5% 25.3%
0.4-0.7% 11.1%
0.0-0.3% 1.0%
$62,326 Vol.
$62,326 Vol.
30. Okt. 2026
<0.0%
1%
0.0-0.3%
1%
0.4-0.7%
11%
0.8-1.1%
55%
1.2-1.5%
25%
1.6-1.9%
<1%
2.0%+
1%
0.8-1.1% 55%
1.2-1.5% 25.3%
0.4-0.7% 11.1%
0.0-0.3% 1.0%
$62,326 Vol.
$62,326 Vol.
30. Okt. 2026
<0.0%
$1,661 Vol.
1%
0.0-0.3%
$1,506 Vol.
1%
0.4-0.7%
$9,920 Vol.
11%
0.8-1.1%
$42,718 Vol.
55%
1.2-1.5%
$3,527 Vol.
25%
1.6-1.9%
$1,634 Vol.
<1%
2.0%+
$1,360 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurostat data showing Q2 2026 euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-over-quarter and 1.2% year-over-year—well above prior estimates—has anchored trader sentiment toward moderate expansion, positioning the 0.8-1.1% range as the clear leader in implied probability. ECB staff projections released September 10 revised 2026 annual growth upward to 0.9%, citing resilience in domestic demand and survey indicators despite energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions. Adjusted measures excluding Irish volatility point to a Q3 quarterly pace near 0.2%, consistent with the market's favored band for the year-over-year print. The October 30 preliminary flash estimate remains the key resolution catalyst, with risks centered on further energy volatility or stronger export momentum.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volumen
$62,326Enddatum
30. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurostat data showing Q2 2026 euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-over-quarter and 1.2% year-over-year—well above prior estimates—has anchored trader sentiment toward moderate expansion, positioning the 0.8-1.1% range as the clear leader in implied probability. ECB staff projections released September 10 revised 2026 annual growth upward to 0.9%, citing resilience in domestic demand and survey indicators despite energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions. Adjusted measures excluding Irish volatility point to a Q3 quarterly pace near 0.2%, consistent with the market's favored band for the year-over-year print. The October 30 preliminary flash estimate remains the key resolution catalyst, with risks centered on further energy volatility or stronger export momentum.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$62,326Enddatum
30. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent Eurostat data showing Q2 2026 euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-over-quarter and 1.2% year-over-year—well above prior estimates—has anchored trader sentiment toward moderate expansion, positioning the 0.8-1.1% range as the clear leader in implied probability. ECB staff projections released September 10 revised 2026 annual growth upward to 0.9%, citing resilience in domestic demand and survey indicators despite energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions. Adjusted measures excluding Irish volatility point to a Q3 quarterly pace near 0.2%, consistent with the market's favored band for the year-over-year print. The October 30 preliminary flash estimate remains the key resolution catalyst, with risks centered on further energy volatility or stronger export momentum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen