Recent forecasts from agencies such as the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily maximum near 35°C in Guangzhou on August 13, driven by persistent high humidity, limited cloud cover allowing surface heating, and scattered thunderstorms that have not fully suppressed peak readings. Official temperature observations and model consensus align closely with this threshold, reflecting typical August conditions where highs average around 32–34°C but can edge higher under favorable steering patterns and reduced rainfall intensity. The near-certain market-implied odds for 35°C capture this aggregated trader assessment of current data, though an unexpected increase in convective activity or measurement revisions could still shift the recorded high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 13. August?
35°C 100.0%
29°C oder darunter <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$62,869 Vol.
$62,869 Vol.
29°C oder darunter
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Ja
36°C
Nein
37°C
Nein
38°C
Nein
39°C oder höher
Nein
35°C 100.0%
29°C oder darunter <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$62,869 Vol.
$62,869 Vol.
29°C oder darunter
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Ja
36°C
Nein
37°C
Nein
38°C
Nein
39°C oder höher
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent forecasts from agencies such as the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily maximum near 35°C in Guangzhou on August 13, driven by persistent high humidity, limited cloud cover allowing surface heating, and scattered thunderstorms that have not fully suppressed peak readings. Official temperature observations and model consensus align closely with this threshold, reflecting typical August conditions where highs average around 32–34°C but can edge higher under favorable steering patterns and reduced rainfall intensity. The near-certain market-implied odds for 35°C capture this aggregated trader assessment of current data, though an unexpected increase in convective activity or measurement revisions could still shift the recorded high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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