**Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models position 36–37°C as the most probable range for Jeddah’s maximum temperature on September 21, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 29.5% and 40.5%.** Clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure are expected to support daytime heating under typical Red Sea coastal humidity levels near 50%, with afternoon peaks likely occurring between 12:00–15:00 local time. Current September conditions show a slight cooling trend from mid-month highs above 39°C, consistent with climatological norms for the period. Minor model spread around intensification timing keeps 38°C at 19% as a plausible upside outcome, while lower probabilities reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations absent unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Final resolution will depend on verified station observations from the Saudi Meteorological Authority.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dschidda am 21. September?
37°C 41%
36°C 29%
38°C 19%
35°C 5%
30°C oder weniger
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
29%
37°C
41%
38°C
19%
39°C
5%
40°C oder höher
2%
37°C 41%
36°C 29%
38°C 19%
35°C 5%
30°C oder weniger
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
29%
37°C
41%
38°C
19%
39°C
5%
40°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models position 36–37°C as the most probable range for Jeddah’s maximum temperature on September 21, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 29.5% and 40.5%.** Clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure are expected to support daytime heating under typical Red Sea coastal humidity levels near 50%, with afternoon peaks likely occurring between 12:00–15:00 local time. Current September conditions show a slight cooling trend from mid-month highs above 39°C, consistent with climatological norms for the period. Minor model spread around intensification timing keeps 38°C at 19% as a plausible upside outcome, while lower probabilities reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations absent unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Final resolution will depend on verified station observations from the Saudi Meteorological Authority.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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