Traders see the closest contest between 31°C and 32°C because Panama City’s tropical climate produces high day-to-day variability in maximum temperatures during early June, when the wet season begins. Key differentiating factors include cloud cover and convective rainfall that can suppress peak heating by several degrees, humidity levels affecting the urban heat island, and steering winds that influence the arrival of cooler maritime air versus warmer continental flow. Official forecasts from regional meteorological services show model spread around these thresholds, with small shifts in timing of showers or solar insolation enough to tip the daily high between 31°C and 32°C. Historical June averages near 31°C and the narrow implied-probability gap reflect this genuine uncertainty in short-term temperature resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Panama City on June 10?
31°C 42%
32°C 36%
33°C 13%
30°C 7.2%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
42%
32°C
36%
33°C
13%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 42%
32°C 36%
33°C 13%
30°C 7.2%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
42%
32°C
36%
33°C
13%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 8, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the closest contest between 31°C and 32°C because Panama City’s tropical climate produces high day-to-day variability in maximum temperatures during early June, when the wet season begins. Key differentiating factors include cloud cover and convective rainfall that can suppress peak heating by several degrees, humidity levels affecting the urban heat island, and steering winds that influence the arrival of cooler maritime air versus warmer continental flow. Official forecasts from regional meteorological services show model spread around these thresholds, with small shifts in timing of showers or solar insolation enough to tip the daily high between 31°C and 32°C. Historical June averages near 31°C and the narrow implied-probability gap reflect this genuine uncertainty in short-term temperature resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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