Latest ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models show Panama City highs stabilizing near 32–33°C on May 18, reflecting the onset of the rainy season when increased afternoon convection and cloud cover limit extreme solar heating. Typical May climatology places average daily maxima at 31°C with a narrow 28–33°C envelope, while current sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light easterly trade winds provide modest moderation. The tight market split between 32°C and 33°C-plus outcomes stems from small differences in predicted cloud timing and moisture convergence, with any earlier clearing or stronger insolation potentially pushing readings above 33°C. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Panama City am 18. Mai?
33°C or higher 39%
32°C 38%
31°C 23%
30°C 4.5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
23%
32°C
38%
33°C or higher
36%
33°C or higher 39%
32°C 38%
31°C 23%
30°C 4.5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
23%
32°C
38%
33°C or higher
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGLatest ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models show Panama City highs stabilizing near 32–33°C on May 18, reflecting the onset of the rainy season when increased afternoon convection and cloud cover limit extreme solar heating. Typical May climatology places average daily maxima at 31°C with a narrow 28–33°C envelope, while current sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light easterly trade winds provide modest moderation. The tight market split between 32°C and 33°C-plus outcomes stems from small differences in predicted cloud timing and moisture convergence, with any earlier clearing or stronger insolation potentially pushing readings above 33°C. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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