Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami's May 17 high temperature, with ensemble models clustering outcomes around 84-87°F amid partly sunny skies and 30-50% chances of afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks via convective cooling. Recent GFS runs imply slightly warmer 88-89°F potential under light east-southeast winds and high sea surface temperatures near 82°F fueling humidity, while ECMWF guidance leans cooler at 84-86°F due to possible sea breeze enhancements and isolated showers. Climatological May 17 highs average 87°F at Miami International Airport, with urban heat effects adding 1-2°F; new model outputs expected Saturday morning could sharpen the mid-80s split.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Miami am 17. Mai?
88-89°F 35%
86-87°F 31%
84-85°F 16%
82-83°F 8%
NEU
NEU
17. Mai 2026
75°F oder weniger
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
31%
88-89°F
35%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
3%
94°F oder höher
2%
88-89°F 35%
86-87°F 31%
84-85°F 16%
82-83°F 8%
NEU
NEU
17. Mai 2026
75°F oder weniger
$50 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$55 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$50 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$20 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$35 Vol.
8%
84-85°F
$51 Vol.
16%
86-87°F
$34 Vol.
31%
88-89°F
$70 Vol.
35%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
7%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
3%
94°F oder höher
$2 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami's May 17 high temperature, with ensemble models clustering outcomes around 84-87°F amid partly sunny skies and 30-50% chances of afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks via convective cooling. Recent GFS runs imply slightly warmer 88-89°F potential under light east-southeast winds and high sea surface temperatures near 82°F fueling humidity, while ECMWF guidance leans cooler at 84-86°F due to possible sea breeze enhancements and isolated showers. Climatological May 17 highs average 87°F at Miami International Airport, with urban heat effects adding 1-2°F; new model outputs expected Saturday morning could sharpen the mid-80s split.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$326Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami's May 17 high temperature, with ensemble models clustering outcomes around 84-87°F amid partly sunny skies and 30-50% chances of afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks via convective cooling. Recent GFS runs imply slightly warmer 88-89°F potential under light east-southeast winds and high sea surface temperatures near 82°F fueling humidity, while ECMWF guidance leans cooler at 84-86°F due to possible sea breeze enhancements and isolated showers. Climatological May 17 highs average 87°F at Miami International Airport, with urban heat effects adding 1-2°F; new model outputs expected Saturday morning could sharpen the mid-80s split.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$326Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIATrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami's May 17 high temperature, with ensemble models clustering outcomes around 84-87°F amid partly sunny skies and 30-50% chances of afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks via convective cooling. Recent GFS runs imply slightly warmer 88-89°F potential under light east-southeast winds and high sea surface temperatures near 82°F fueling humidity, while ECMWF guidance leans cooler at 84-86°F due to possible sea breeze enhancements and isolated showers. Climatological May 17 highs average 87°F at Miami International Airport, with urban heat effects adding 1-2°F; new model outputs expected Saturday morning could sharpen the mid-80s split.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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