National Weather Service forecast models indicate a strong cold front will push into the Denver area by May 19, driving daytime highs into the mid-40s Fahrenheit under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This represents a sharp departure from the seasonal normal of 73°F, supported by consistent runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showing advection of cooler Canadian air behind the front. Trader consensus has priced the 55°F-or-below outcome above 97 percent, reflecting high model agreement on limited mixing and persistent cloud cover that caps warming. A faster-than-expected frontal passage or unexpected downslope warming could lift temperatures a few degrees, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before the market resolves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Denver am 19. Mai?
55°F or below 97.5%
56-57°F 1.7%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
55°F or below
98%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
55°F or below 97.5%
56-57°F 1.7%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
55°F or below
98%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFNational Weather Service forecast models indicate a strong cold front will push into the Denver area by May 19, driving daytime highs into the mid-40s Fahrenheit under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This represents a sharp departure from the seasonal normal of 73°F, supported by consistent runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showing advection of cooler Canadian air behind the front. Trader consensus has priced the 55°F-or-below outcome above 97 percent, reflecting high model agreement on limited mixing and persistent cloud cover that caps warming. A faster-than-expected frontal passage or unexpected downslope warming could lift temperatures a few degrees, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before the market resolves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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