Recent forecast ensembles from major meteorological models indicate Chengdu’s May 17 high will most likely settle between 28 °C and 30 °C, which accounts for the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. The Sichuan basin’s topography and subtropical monsoon influences create afternoon heating that is sensitive to boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover, and any residual frontal activity, producing small day-to-day shifts in peak temperature. With no strong high-pressure ridge or significant cold-air intrusion expected, model spread remains modest yet sufficient to keep 29 °C, 30 °C, and 28 °C within roughly two percentage points of each other. Updated runs released later today will narrow the range further before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 17. Mai?
28°C 20%
29°C 20%
30°C 20%
31°C 14%
NEU
NEU
17. Mai 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
20%
29°C
20%
30°C
20%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 20%
29°C 20%
30°C 20%
31°C 14%
NEU
NEU
17. Mai 2026
23°C or below
$1,019 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$588 Vol.
1%
25°C
$451 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,040 Vol.
4%
27°C
$891 Vol.
9%
28°C
$1,050 Vol.
20%
29°C
$1,073 Vol.
20%
30°C
$284 Vol.
20%
31°C
$404 Vol.
14%
32°C
$458 Vol.
5%
33°C or higher
$856 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast ensembles from major meteorological models indicate Chengdu’s May 17 high will most likely settle between 28 °C and 30 °C, which accounts for the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. The Sichuan basin’s topography and subtropical monsoon influences create afternoon heating that is sensitive to boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover, and any residual frontal activity, producing small day-to-day shifts in peak temperature. With no strong high-pressure ridge or significant cold-air intrusion expected, model spread remains modest yet sufficient to keep 29 °C, 30 °C, and 28 °C within roughly two percentage points of each other. Updated runs released later today will narrow the range further before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$8,075Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast ensembles from major meteorological models indicate Chengdu’s May 17 high will most likely settle between 28 °C and 30 °C, which accounts for the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. The Sichuan basin’s topography and subtropical monsoon influences create afternoon heating that is sensitive to boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover, and any residual frontal activity, producing small day-to-day shifts in peak temperature. With no strong high-pressure ridge or significant cold-air intrusion expected, model spread remains modest yet sufficient to keep 29 °C, 30 °C, and 28 °C within roughly two percentage points of each other. Updated runs released later today will narrow the range further before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,075Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUURecent forecast ensembles from major meteorological models indicate Chengdu’s May 17 high will most likely settle between 28 °C and 30 °C, which accounts for the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. The Sichuan basin’s topography and subtropical monsoon influences create afternoon heating that is sensitive to boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover, and any residual frontal activity, producing small day-to-day shifts in peak temperature. With no strong high-pressure ridge or significant cold-air intrusion expected, model spread remains modest yet sufficient to keep 29 °C, 30 °C, and 28 °C within roughly two percentage points of each other. Updated runs released later today will narrow the range further before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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