Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional meteorological models indicate Chengdu’s May 18 high will most likely settle between 30 °C and 32 °C, with the tight clustering around 31 °C reflecting modest model spread and a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge. This ridge promotes subsidence and reduced cloud cover, enhancing daytime solar insolation while light northeast winds of 5–10 km/h limit vertical mixing and allow boundary-layer warming above the seasonal climatological mean of 27–28 °C. Minor variations in forecast moisture and timing of any diurnal convection could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C, keeping the leading outcomes closely matched until the official observation from the Chengdu Shuangliu station is recorded on May 18.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 18. Mai?
31°C 25%
30°C 20%
32°C 19%
33°C 15%
26°C or below
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
9%
29°C
14%
30°C
20%
31°C
23%
32°C
19%
33°C
15%
34°C
6%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 25%
30°C 20%
32°C 19%
33°C 15%
26°C or below
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
9%
29°C
14%
30°C
20%
31°C
23%
32°C
19%
33°C
15%
34°C
6%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUULatest ensemble forecasts from global and regional meteorological models indicate Chengdu’s May 18 high will most likely settle between 30 °C and 32 °C, with the tight clustering around 31 °C reflecting modest model spread and a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge. This ridge promotes subsidence and reduced cloud cover, enhancing daytime solar insolation while light northeast winds of 5–10 km/h limit vertical mixing and allow boundary-layer warming above the seasonal climatological mean of 27–28 °C. Minor variations in forecast moisture and timing of any diurnal convection could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C, keeping the leading outcomes closely matched until the official observation from the Chengdu Shuangliu station is recorded on May 18.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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