Traders have converged on a 36°C high for Shenzhen on August 13 due to real-time official measurements from local meteorological stations aligning with this threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with limited cloud cover and weak steering winds from the western Pacific subtropical high have supported peak daytime heating consistent with verified observations, rather than model projections. Historical August baselines for the region average near 32°C, but localized urban heat island effects and recent stable atmospheric patterns have pushed the verified maximum to this level. Scenarios that could still alter the recorded outcome include post-hoc quality-control adjustments by the China Meteorological Administration or discrepancies in station siting that revise the peak downward.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 13. August?
36°C 100.0%
28°C oder weniger <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$62,164 Vol.
$62,164 Vol.
28°C oder weniger
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C
Ja
37°C
Nein
38°C oder höher
Nein
36°C 100.0%
28°C oder weniger <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$62,164 Vol.
$62,164 Vol.
28°C oder weniger
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C
Ja
37°C
Nein
38°C oder höher
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Traders have converged on a 36°C high for Shenzhen on August 13 due to real-time official measurements from local meteorological stations aligning with this threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with limited cloud cover and weak steering winds from the western Pacific subtropical high have supported peak daytime heating consistent with verified observations, rather than model projections. Historical August baselines for the region average near 32°C, but localized urban heat island effects and recent stable atmospheric patterns have pushed the verified maximum to this level. Scenarios that could still alter the recorded outcome include post-hoc quality-control adjustments by the China Meteorological Administration or discrepancies in station siting that revise the peak downward.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen