Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather place Tel Aviv’s daytime maximum on August 25 near 32–33 °C under sunny conditions and light northwesterly flow, aligning with late-August climatology of 31–33 °C. This positioning stems from persistent subtropical high pressure that suppresses cloud formation and maintains strong solar heating, with minimal moisture advection from the Mediterranean. Model runs show little spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (58 %) and 34 °C (26.5 %), while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given stable steering patterns and no incoming fronts. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine exact peak readings for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 25. August?
33°C 59%
34°C 27%
32°C 12%
35°C 3%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
59%
34°C
27%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 59%
34°C 27%
32°C 12%
35°C 3%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
59%
34°C
27%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather place Tel Aviv’s daytime maximum on August 25 near 32–33 °C under sunny conditions and light northwesterly flow, aligning with late-August climatology of 31–33 °C. This positioning stems from persistent subtropical high pressure that suppresses cloud formation and maintains strong solar heating, with minimal moisture advection from the Mediterranean. Model runs show little spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (58 %) and 34 °C (26.5 %), while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given stable steering patterns and no incoming fronts. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine exact peak readings for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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