Current forecasts from official monitoring stations and regional models project daytime highs in Zhengzhou reaching 31–35°C on August 10, aligning with established midsummer climatology where average August maxima range from 31–33°C due to peak solar insolation and prevailing warm, humid air masses. Real-time observations already near 32°C, combined with low precipitation risk and stable atmospheric patterns, underpin the market's 100% implied probability for 32°C or higher. This consensus reflects traders' assessment of consistent seasonal data rather than isolated anomalies. A realistic challenge would require rapid advection of cooler air or persistent thick cloud cover suppressing surface heating, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such shifts before peak temperatures are recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 10. August?
32°C oder höher 100.0%
$6,002 Vol.
$6,002 Vol.
32°C oder höher
100%
32°C oder höher 100.0%
$6,002 Vol.
$6,002 Vol.
32°C oder höher
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from official monitoring stations and regional models project daytime highs in Zhengzhou reaching 31–35°C on August 10, aligning with established midsummer climatology where average August maxima range from 31–33°C due to peak solar insolation and prevailing warm, humid air masses. Real-time observations already near 32°C, combined with low precipitation risk and stable atmospheric patterns, underpin the market's 100% implied probability for 32°C or higher. This consensus reflects traders' assessment of consistent seasonal data rather than isolated anomalies. A realistic challenge would require rapid advection of cooler air or persistent thick cloud cover suppressing surface heating, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such shifts before peak temperatures are recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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