Following the June 2025 conflict that included U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran's Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan nuclear facilities, Tehran suspended full IAEA cooperation and has restricted inspectors to unaffected sites only. Iran maintains that any access to the damaged enrichment and conversion plants requires the IAEA to first establish a formal framework addressing post-strike conditions and safeguards obligations. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi has noted continued verification at other locations but emphasized the need for entry to the three key sites to account for nuclear material and assess damage. Diplomatic channels, including references to interim understandings tied to broader U.S.-Iran discussions, remain the primary mechanism that could enable visits, with outcomes dependent on resolution of outstanding verification issues and any scheduled IAEA board reviews or bilateral talks through late 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDie IAEO besucht den Kernkraftwerksstandort Isfahan, Fordo oder Natanz bis zum...?
Die IAEO besucht den Kernkraftwerksstandort Isfahan, Fordo oder Natanz bis zum...?
$348,717 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
31. August
1%
31. Oktober
15%
31. Dezember
22%
$348,717 Vol.
31. August
$52,844 Vol.
1%
31. Oktober
$77,203 Vol.
15%
31. Dezember
$25,347 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.Following the June 2025 conflict that included U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran's Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan nuclear facilities, Tehran suspended full IAEA cooperation and has restricted inspectors to unaffected sites only. Iran maintains that any access to the damaged enrichment and conversion plants requires the IAEA to first establish a formal framework addressing post-strike conditions and safeguards obligations. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi has noted continued verification at other locations but emphasized the need for entry to the three key sites to account for nuclear material and assess damage. Diplomatic channels, including references to interim understandings tied to broader U.S.-Iran discussions, remain the primary mechanism that could enable visits, with outcomes dependent on resolution of outstanding verification issues and any scheduled IAEA board reviews or bilateral talks through late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Volumen
$348,717Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.Following the June 2025 conflict that included U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran's Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan nuclear facilities, Tehran suspended full IAEA cooperation and has restricted inspectors to unaffected sites only. Iran maintains that any access to the damaged enrichment and conversion plants requires the IAEA to first establish a formal framework addressing post-strike conditions and safeguards obligations. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi has noted continued verification at other locations but emphasized the need for entry to the three key sites to account for nuclear material and assess damage. Diplomatic channels, including references to interim understandings tied to broader U.S.-Iran discussions, remain the primary mechanism that could enable visits, with outcomes dependent on resolution of outstanding verification issues and any scheduled IAEA board reviews or bilateral talks through late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$348,717Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the June 2025 conflict that included U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran's Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan nuclear facilities, Tehran suspended full IAEA cooperation and has restricted inspectors to unaffected sites only. Iran maintains that any access to the damaged enrichment and conversion plants requires the IAEA to first establish a formal framework addressing post-strike conditions and safeguards obligations. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi has noted continued verification at other locations but emphasized the need for entry to the three key sites to account for nuclear material and assess damage. Diplomatic channels, including references to interim understandings tied to broader U.S.-Iran discussions, remain the primary mechanism that could enable visits, with outcomes dependent on resolution of outstanding verification issues and any scheduled IAEA board reviews or bilateral talks through late 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird Reza Pahlavi bis zum 31. Dezember in den Iran einreisen?
6%
Ja
Wird Jared Kushner bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 an einem diplomatischen Treffen zwischen den USA und dem Iran teilnehmen?
60%
Ja
Wird bis zum 30. September 2026 kein qualifiziertes diplomatisches Treffen zwischen den USA und Iran stattfinden?
68%
Ja
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen