Italy's lower house passed the nuclear framework legislation in early June 2026, sending it to the Senate for final approval ahead of an anticipated summer recess at the end of July. With Parliament largely adjourned through August and limited sitting days before the August 31 deadline, procedural scheduling and standard legislative pacing have kept the bill from advancing on the upper chamber's calendar. Government statements in early August referenced an expected Senate vote "next week," yet no confirmation of passage has emerged. Trader consensus at 98.7% for "No" reflects this timeline mismatch. Late-session recall, expedited rules under the Meloni administration, or an extraordinary sitting could still alter the outcome before month-end, though such steps remain uncommon for framework bills of this type.