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icon for Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

<5 100.0%

5-9 <1%

10-14 <1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket

$22,293 Vol.

<5 100.0%

5-9 <1%

10-14 <1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket

$22,293 Vol.

<5

$3,321 Vol.

Yes

5-9

$2,066 Vol.

No

10-14

$3,557 Vol.

No

15-19

$6,156 Vol.

No

20-24

$1,117 Vol.

No

25-29

$412 Vol.

No

30-34

$609 Vol.

No

35-39

$670 Vol.

No

40-44

$685 Vol.

No

45-49

$1,036 Vol.

No

50-54

$1,179 Vol.

No

55-59

$793 Vol.

No

60+

$691 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices fewer than five posts by Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) at virtually 100% probability for May 8–15, 2026, reflecting zero activity in the period through May 14 amid the account's sharp decline following his martyrdom in a US-Israeli airstrike in late February 2026. The bio now describes him as the "martyred Leader," with posts limited to sporadic reposts of archival statements—latest on May 4–5 quoting past remarks on US weakness and Zionist normalization—averaging under one weekly as successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei uses a separate account for new messaging. This established low-volume pattern during institutional transition drives the lopsided odds, with resolution at May 15, 12:00 PM ET; a pre-deadline flurry of historical reposts remains the sole realistic challenge, though mourning protocols make it improbable.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$22,293
Enddatum
15. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices fewer than five posts by Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) at virtually 100% probability for May 8–15, 2026, reflecting zero activity in the period through May 14 amid the account's sharp decline following his martyrdom in a US-Israeli airstrike in late February 2026. The bio now describes him as the "martyred Leader," with posts limited to sporadic reposts of archival statements—latest on May 4–5 quoting past remarks on US weakness and Zionist normalization—averaging under one weekly as successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei uses a separate account for new messaging. This established low-volume pattern during institutional transition drives the lopsided odds, with resolution at May 15, 12:00 PM ET; a pre-deadline flurry of historical reposts remains the sole realistic challenge, though mourning protocols make it improbable.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$22,293
Enddatum
15. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 13 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „<5" mit 100%, gefolgt von „5-9" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $22.3K generiert, seit der Markt am May 5, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 13 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?" ist „<5" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „5-9" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.