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Geopolitik·Trump

Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

icon for Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Geopolitik·Trump

Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

<1% Chance
Polymarket

$197,246 Vol.

<1% Chance
Polymarket

$197,246 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects 100% certainty that Chinese President Xi Jinping will not meet Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as no such bilateral engagement has been announced or reported amid Xi's packed schedule hosting U.S. President Donald Trump for a high-stakes summit in Beijing on May 14-15. Recent diplomacy between China and Iran has occurred at the foreign minister level, with Beijing urging a ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz reopening in the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, but Xi has prioritized U.S.-China talks on trade, Taiwan, and Iran mediation offers. Absent last-minute unannounced developments before market close, resolution as "No" appears inevitable, underscoring the absence of scheduled high-level Xi-Iran diplomacy.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$197,246
Enddatum
15. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 5, 2026, 1:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects 100% certainty that Chinese President Xi Jinping will not meet Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as no such bilateral engagement has been announced or reported amid Xi's packed schedule hosting U.S. President Donald Trump for a high-stakes summit in Beijing on May 14-15. Recent diplomacy between China and Iran has occurred at the foreign minister level, with Beijing urging a ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz reopening in the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, but Xi has prioritized U.S.-China talks on trade, Taiwan, and Iran mediation offers. Absent last-minute unannounced developments before market close, resolution as "No" appears inevitable, underscoring the absence of scheduled high-level Xi-Iran diplomacy.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$199,246
Enddatum
15. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 5, 2026, 1:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

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Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?" liegt bei 0% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 0% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

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