Recent meteorological guidance from GFS and related models indicates clear skies and northeasterly flow over Busan on September 21, supporting overnight lows near 19 °C under stable high pressure. This places the expected minimum within the mid-range of listed outcomes, yet market-implied odds remain nearly even between 23 °C or higher and 13 °C or below. The balance reflects model sensitivity to exact radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and minor timing shifts in the diurnal cycle, all of which can alter the recorded low by several degrees. Historical September climatology shows typical minima around 18–20 °C, providing context for the current forecast spread and the value traders assign to the next model runs and observational updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Busan am 21. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Busan am 21. September?
13°C oder niedriger 100%
23°C oder höher 95%
19°C 40%
15°C 37%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
13°C oder niedriger
100%
14°C
7%
15°C
37%
16°C
37%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
40%
20°C
37%
21°C
37%
22°C
13%
23°C oder höher
95%
13°C oder niedriger 100%
23°C oder höher 95%
19°C 40%
15°C 37%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
13°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
100%
14°C
$0 Vol.
7%
15°C
$0 Vol.
37%
16°C
$0 Vol.
37%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$0 Vol.
40%
20°C
$0 Vol.
37%
21°C
$0 Vol.
37%
22°C
$0 Vol.
13%
23°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance from GFS and related models indicates clear skies and northeasterly flow over Busan on September 21, supporting overnight lows near 19 °C under stable high pressure. This places the expected minimum within the mid-range of listed outcomes, yet market-implied odds remain nearly even between 23 °C or higher and 13 °C or below. The balance reflects model sensitivity to exact radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and minor timing shifts in the diurnal cycle, all of which can alter the recorded low by several degrees. Historical September climatology shows typical minima around 18–20 °C, providing context for the current forecast spread and the value traders assign to the next model runs and observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance from GFS and related models indicates clear skies and northeasterly flow over Busan on September 21, supporting overnight lows near 19 °C under stable high pressure. This places the expected minimum within the mid-range of listed outcomes, yet market-implied odds remain nearly even between 23 °C or higher and 13 °C or below. The balance reflects model sensitivity to exact radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and minor timing shifts in the diurnal cycle, all of which can alter the recorded low by several degrees. Historical September climatology shows typical minima around 18–20 °C, providing context for the current forecast spread and the value traders assign to the next model runs and observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological guidance from GFS and related models indicates clear skies and northeasterly flow over Busan on September 21, supporting overnight lows near 19 °C under stable high pressure. This places the expected minimum within the mid-range of listed outcomes, yet market-implied odds remain nearly even between 23 °C or higher and 13 °C or below. The balance reflects model sensitivity to exact radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and minor timing shifts in the diurnal cycle, all of which can alter the recorded low by several degrees. Historical September climatology shows typical minima around 18–20 °C, providing context for the current forecast spread and the value traders assign to the next model runs and observational updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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