**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s September 10 minimum temperature reflects high uncertainty in short-range model guidance during the spring transition.** Recent forecasts show a mix of mostly cloudy skies, moderate south-southeasterly winds (15–25 km/h), and surface pressures near 1018–1021 hPa, which limit strong radiational cooling while allowing modest advection of cooler marine air. Historical September minima average 10–11 °C, but current runs diverge on overnight cloud cover and wind speed—key controls on the lowest reading, typically reached near dawn. Clear or partly cloudy conditions could permit drops toward 9–12 °C, while persistent low-level moisture or stronger flow favors 14–16 °C. The near-even split across 9 °C-or-below, mid-teens, and 19 °C-or-higher outcomes captures this forecast spread and the sensitivity of minimum temperature to small changes in boundary-layer conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 10. September?
9°C oder darunter 52%
15°C 40%
11°C 30%
13°C 28%
9°C oder darunter
52%
10°C
16%
11°C
30%
12°C
22%
13°C
28%
14°C
26%
15°C
36%
16°C
19%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C oder höher
11%
9°C oder darunter 52%
15°C 40%
11°C 30%
13°C 28%
9°C oder darunter
52%
10°C
16%
11°C
30%
12°C
22%
13°C
28%
14°C
26%
15°C
36%
16°C
19%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C oder höher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s September 10 minimum temperature reflects high uncertainty in short-range model guidance during the spring transition.** Recent forecasts show a mix of mostly cloudy skies, moderate south-southeasterly winds (15–25 km/h), and surface pressures near 1018–1021 hPa, which limit strong radiational cooling while allowing modest advection of cooler marine air. Historical September minima average 10–11 °C, but current runs diverge on overnight cloud cover and wind speed—key controls on the lowest reading, typically reached near dawn. Clear or partly cloudy conditions could permit drops toward 9–12 °C, while persistent low-level moisture or stronger flow favors 14–16 °C. The near-even split across 9 °C-or-below, mid-teens, and 19 °C-or-higher outcomes captures this forecast spread and the sensitivity of minimum temperature to small changes in boundary-layer conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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