**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project overnight lows in Chengdu on September 10 in the 16–19°C range under persistent cloud cover, light rain, and light winds, which limits radiative cooling and daytime heating.** This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 18–19°C while the substantial probability assigned to 14°C or below reflects divergence among models on exact minimum temperatures driven by variations in precipitation timing and cloud thickness. Recent days of rain have kept surface temperatures moderate, with historical September baselines for the region typically seeing lows near 18–20°C. Upcoming model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these estimates as the 24-hour window approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chengdu am 10. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Chengdu am 10. September?
14°C oder darunter 80%
22°C 39%
23°C 38%
18°C 26%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
14°C oder darunter
80%
15°C
19%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
24%
21°C
5%
22°C
39%
23°C
38%
24°C oder höher
12%
14°C oder darunter 80%
22°C 39%
23°C 38%
18°C 26%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
14°C oder darunter
$30 Vol.
80%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
24%
21°C
$20 Vol.
5%
22°C
$15 Vol.
39%
23°C
$60 Vol.
38%
24°C oder höher
$25 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project overnight lows in Chengdu on September 10 in the 16–19°C range under persistent cloud cover, light rain, and light winds, which limits radiative cooling and daytime heating.** This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 18–19°C while the substantial probability assigned to 14°C or below reflects divergence among models on exact minimum temperatures driven by variations in precipitation timing and cloud thickness. Recent days of rain have kept surface temperatures moderate, with historical September baselines for the region typically seeing lows near 18–20°C. Upcoming model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these estimates as the 24-hour window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$150Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project overnight lows in Chengdu on September 10 in the 16–19°C range under persistent cloud cover, light rain, and light winds, which limits radiative cooling and daytime heating.** This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 18–19°C while the substantial probability assigned to 14°C or below reflects divergence among models on exact minimum temperatures driven by variations in precipitation timing and cloud thickness. Recent days of rain have kept surface temperatures moderate, with historical September baselines for the region typically seeing lows near 18–20°C. Upcoming model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these estimates as the 24-hour window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$150Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project overnight lows in Chengdu on September 10 in the 16–19°C range under persistent cloud cover, light rain, and light winds, which limits radiative cooling and daytime heating.** This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 18–19°C while the substantial probability assigned to 14°C or below reflects divergence among models on exact minimum temperatures driven by variations in precipitation timing and cloud thickness. Recent days of rain have kept surface temperatures moderate, with historical September baselines for the region typically seeing lows near 18–20°C. Upcoming model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these estimates as the 24-hour window approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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