Forecast models from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF project overnight lows in Guangzhou around 25–27°C for September 8, driven by persistent subtropical humidity, light variable winds, and partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Recent thunderstorms and rainfall have elevated soil moisture, which moderates temperature drops, while the region's typical early-September monsoon transition favors minima near the 1991–2020 average of 24.7°C. Trader consensus clusters on 26–27°C because ensemble spreads show limited downside risk from stronger northerly flows or clearer skies that could push readings lower; a 20°C or below outcome would require an atypical cold surge not currently indicated in guidance. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine dew-point and boundary-layer details central to market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 8. September?
20°C oder darunter 59%
23°C 49%
26 °C 31%
27°C 30%
20°C oder darunter
59%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
49%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26 °C
31%
27°C
30%
28°C
12%
29°C
23%
30°C oder höher
1%
20°C oder darunter 59%
23°C 49%
26 °C 31%
27°C 30%
20°C oder darunter
59%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
49%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26 °C
31%
27°C
30%
28°C
12%
29°C
23%
30°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF project overnight lows in Guangzhou around 25–27°C for September 8, driven by persistent subtropical humidity, light variable winds, and partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Recent thunderstorms and rainfall have elevated soil moisture, which moderates temperature drops, while the region's typical early-September monsoon transition favors minima near the 1991–2020 average of 24.7°C. Trader consensus clusters on 26–27°C because ensemble spreads show limited downside risk from stronger northerly flows or clearer skies that could push readings lower; a 20°C or below outcome would require an atypical cold surge not currently indicated in guidance. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine dew-point and boundary-layer details central to market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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