Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 21 under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, driven by weak northeast monsoon flow and upper-air disturbances over the region. High humidity near 90% overnight combined with light variable winds restricts radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows near or slightly above seasonal norms of 26–27°C. Multiple numerical models align on this range, with minimal risk of stronger cooling from distant tropical systems like Dujuan. Traders appear to weight the official 27–31°C guidance heavily, though updated model runs ahead of evening observations could shift implied probabilities if showers intensify or clear.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 21. September?
27°C 59%
26°C 25%
24°C 19%
28°C 15%
22°C oder weniger
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
19%
25°C
10%
26°C
17%
27°C
59%
28°C
15%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 59%
26°C 25%
24°C 19%
28°C 15%
22°C oder weniger
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
19%
25°C
10%
26°C
17%
27°C
59%
28°C
15%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 21 under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, driven by weak northeast monsoon flow and upper-air disturbances over the region. High humidity near 90% overnight combined with light variable winds restricts radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows near or slightly above seasonal norms of 26–27°C. Multiple numerical models align on this range, with minimal risk of stronger cooling from distant tropical systems like Dujuan. Traders appear to weight the official 27–31°C guidance heavily, though updated model runs ahead of evening observations could shift implied probabilities if showers intensify or clear.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen