Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and numerical models point to overnight lows near 26–27°C in Karachi on August 26, driven by waning monsoon influence, persistent high humidity, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit nocturnal cooling along the Arabian Sea coast. Partly cloudy skies and light or no precipitation are expected, consistent with the observed minimum of 26.7°C on August 23 and the month’s near-normal temperatures around 27–29°C. Trader consensus clusters around 25–28°C because model runs show only modest day-to-day variability, while the small probabilities assigned to 24°C or below reflect the low likelihood of stronger cooling or rain-induced drops in this late-monsoon regime. Updated official guidance and the next model cycle will be the key near-term catalysts.