Current National Weather Service and NOAA guidance points to a minimum temperature in the mid- to upper-70s°F for New York City on August 9, reflecting a warm, humid air mass with southerly flow and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 76-77°F and 78-79°F bins, as recent model runs show little cooling potential before sunrise. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks and the absence of an approaching cold front sustain these levels, while minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed create the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Historical early-August lows average near 70°F, underscoring how current conditions deviate from climatology and keep probabilities concentrated in this narrow range ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 9. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 9. August?
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 35%
74-75°F 15%
80-81°F 8%
NEU
NEU
9. Aug. 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
3%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 35%
74-75°F 15%
80-81°F 8%
NEU
NEU
9. Aug. 2026
65°F or below
$28 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$50 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$20 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$27 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$10 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$126 Vol.
15%
76-77°F
$91 Vol.
40%
78-79°F
$20 Vol.
35%
80-81°F
$116 Vol.
8%
82-83°F
$433 Vol.
3%
84°F or higher
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA guidance points to a minimum temperature in the mid- to upper-70s°F for New York City on August 9, reflecting a warm, humid air mass with southerly flow and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 76-77°F and 78-79°F bins, as recent model runs show little cooling potential before sunrise. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks and the absence of an approaching cold front sustain these levels, while minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed create the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Historical early-August lows average near 70°F, underscoring how current conditions deviate from climatology and keep probabilities concentrated in this narrow range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$940Enddatum
9. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA guidance points to a minimum temperature in the mid- to upper-70s°F for New York City on August 9, reflecting a warm, humid air mass with southerly flow and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 76-77°F and 78-79°F bins, as recent model runs show little cooling potential before sunrise. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks and the absence of an approaching cold front sustain these levels, while minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed create the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Historical early-August lows average near 70°F, underscoring how current conditions deviate from climatology and keep probabilities concentrated in this narrow range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$940Enddatum
9. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and NOAA guidance points to a minimum temperature in the mid- to upper-70s°F for New York City on August 9, reflecting a warm, humid air mass with southerly flow and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 76-77°F and 78-79°F bins, as recent model runs show little cooling potential before sunrise. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks and the absence of an approaching cold front sustain these levels, while minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed create the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Historical early-August lows average near 70°F, underscoring how current conditions deviate from climatology and keep probabilities concentrated in this narrow range ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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