Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by meteorological services, point to overnight minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 6 settling near 24–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light westerly winds typical of the eastern Mediterranean in early autumn. These values align with historical September baselines and reflect the moderating influence of the adjacent sea, which limits radiative cooling. Market-implied odds favor 25°C as the most probable low, with elevated probabilities also assigned to 24°C and warmer outcomes above 29°C, underscoring uncertainty in precise overnight cooling rates amid consistent dry and partly cloudy conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming days will likely refine these ranges as the date approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 6. September?
29°C oder höher 67%
25°C 51%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
19°C oder darunter
33%
20°C
19%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
28%
25°C
43%
26°C
26%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C oder höher
67%
29°C oder höher 67%
25°C 51%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
19°C oder darunter
33%
20°C
19%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
28%
25°C
43%
26°C
26%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C oder höher
67%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by meteorological services, point to overnight minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 6 settling near 24–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light westerly winds typical of the eastern Mediterranean in early autumn. These values align with historical September baselines and reflect the moderating influence of the adjacent sea, which limits radiative cooling. Market-implied odds favor 25°C as the most probable low, with elevated probabilities also assigned to 24°C and warmer outcomes above 29°C, underscoring uncertainty in precise overnight cooling rates amid consistent dry and partly cloudy conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming days will likely refine these ranges as the date approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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