Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a frontal system approaching Warsaw from the west, shifting conditions from recent high pressure and daytime highs near 27–29°C toward increased cloud cover, light precipitation, and stronger westerly winds on September 10. This setup limits overnight radiative cooling while enhancing mixing, keeping the daily minimum most likely in the 11–13°C range according to ensemble guidance. Trader sentiment remains split because small differences in front timing, cloud thickness, or dew-point depression could push the low either below 9°C under clearer skies or allow it to hold near or above 14°C with greater mixing. Historical September minima in Warsaw average around 10–12°C, providing context for the tight clustering around mid-range outcomes amid ongoing model spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 10. September?
9°C oder darunter 35%
11°C 28%
13°C 26%
12°C 25%
9°C oder darunter
35%
10°C
23%
11°C
28%
12°C
25%
13°C
20%
14°C
10%
15°C
13%
16°C
8%
17°C
17%
18°C
17%
19°C oder höher
11%
9°C oder darunter 35%
11°C 28%
13°C 26%
12°C 25%
9°C oder darunter
35%
10°C
23%
11°C
28%
12°C
25%
13°C
20%
14°C
10%
15°C
13%
16°C
8%
17°C
17%
18°C
17%
19°C oder höher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a frontal system approaching Warsaw from the west, shifting conditions from recent high pressure and daytime highs near 27–29°C toward increased cloud cover, light precipitation, and stronger westerly winds on September 10. This setup limits overnight radiative cooling while enhancing mixing, keeping the daily minimum most likely in the 11–13°C range according to ensemble guidance. Trader sentiment remains split because small differences in front timing, cloud thickness, or dew-point depression could push the low either below 9°C under clearer skies or allow it to hold near or above 14°C with greater mixing. Historical September minima in Warsaw average around 10–12°C, providing context for the tight clustering around mid-range outcomes amid ongoing model spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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