Forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Wellington on August 23, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies, with light northwesterlies limiting stronger inversions. This aligns with climatological August averages of 7–9°C lows while reflecting recent model runs showing warmer-than-average conditions from a milder Tasman Sea air mass. Trader consensus around 11°C reflects these converging forecasts, though slight model spread in wind strength and cloud cover could shift the outcome toward 9–10°C if clearer skies develop. Updated guidance from NIWA and the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research tomorrow morning will refine resolution thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 23. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 23. August?
11°C 45%
12°C 19%
10°C 16%
9°C 13%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
5°C oder darunter
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
6%
8°C
10%
9°C
13%
10°C
16%
11°C
45%
12°C
19%
13°C
7%
14°C
1%
15°C oder höher
1%
11°C 45%
12°C 19%
10°C 16%
9°C 13%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
5°C oder darunter
$32 Vol.
1%
6°C
$75 Vol.
1%
7°C
$61 Vol.
6%
8°C
$0 Vol.
10%
9°C
$0 Vol.
13%
10°C
$0 Vol.
16%
11°C
$52 Vol.
45%
12°C
$55 Vol.
19%
13°C
$27 Vol.
7%
14°C
$11 Vol.
1%
15°C oder höher
$39 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Wellington on August 23, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies, with light northwesterlies limiting stronger inversions. This aligns with climatological August averages of 7–9°C lows while reflecting recent model runs showing warmer-than-average conditions from a milder Tasman Sea air mass. Trader consensus around 11°C reflects these converging forecasts, though slight model spread in wind strength and cloud cover could shift the outcome toward 9–10°C if clearer skies develop. Updated guidance from NIWA and the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research tomorrow morning will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$352Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Wellington on August 23, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies, with light northwesterlies limiting stronger inversions. This aligns with climatological August averages of 7–9°C lows while reflecting recent model runs showing warmer-than-average conditions from a milder Tasman Sea air mass. Trader consensus around 11°C reflects these converging forecasts, though slight model spread in wind strength and cloud cover could shift the outcome toward 9–10°C if clearer skies develop. Updated guidance from NIWA and the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research tomorrow morning will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$352Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Wellington on August 23, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies, with light northwesterlies limiting stronger inversions. This aligns with climatological August averages of 7–9°C lows while reflecting recent model runs showing warmer-than-average conditions from a milder Tasman Sea air mass. Trader consensus around 11°C reflects these converging forecasts, though slight model spread in wind strength and cloud cover could shift the outcome toward 9–10°C if clearer skies develop. Updated guidance from NIWA and the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research tomorrow morning will refine resolution thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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