Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Zhengzhou highs of 31–34°C on August 23, driven by a weakening low-level trough and strengthening subtropical high that reduce cloud cover and precipitation after several days of scattered showers. Recent observations show daytime maxima stabilizing near 32°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds and high humidity, while climatological August averages for the region support readings in this range absent stronger cooling influences. These conditions underpin the 75% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, with limited downside risk from model consensus. Updated forecasts and official observations will determine final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 23. August?
32°C or higher 74%
31°C 26%
30°C 9%
29°C 4%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
74%
32°C or higher 74%
31°C 26%
30°C 9%
29°C 4%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
74%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Zhengzhou highs of 31–34°C on August 23, driven by a weakening low-level trough and strengthening subtropical high that reduce cloud cover and precipitation after several days of scattered showers. Recent observations show daytime maxima stabilizing near 32°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds and high humidity, while climatological August averages for the region support readings in this range absent stronger cooling influences. These conditions underpin the 75% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, with limited downside risk from model consensus. Updated forecasts and official observations will determine final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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