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icon for Makerfield-Nachwahl: Restore Britain erhält mehr als 10 %?

Makerfield-Nachwahl: Restore Britain erhält mehr als 10 %?

icon for Makerfield-Nachwahl: Restore Britain erhält mehr als 10 %?

Makerfield-Nachwahl: Restore Britain erhält mehr als 10 %?

Ja

40% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Ja

40% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent constituency polling in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, places Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at 7-8%, below the 10% threshold. Labour’s Andy Burnham leads with around 43%, followed by Reform UK on roughly 40%, reflecting a split in right-wing support between the two parties. Restore Britain, contesting its first Westminster seat after Rupert Lowe’s departure from Reform UK, has seen its canvassing claims exceed these figures, yet independent surveys indicate limited broader traction amid ongoing inter-party tensions and the first-past-the-post system favoring established contenders.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$3,956
Enddatum
18. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent constituency polling in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, places Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at 7-8%, below the 10% threshold. Labour’s Andy Burnham leads with around 43%, followed by Reform UK on roughly 40%, reflecting a split in right-wing support between the two parties. Restore Britain, contesting its first Westminster seat after Rupert Lowe’s departure from Reform UK, has seen its canvassing claims exceed these figures, yet independent surveys indicate limited broader traction amid ongoing inter-party tensions and the first-past-the-post system favoring established contenders.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$3,956
Enddatum
18. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

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„Makerfield-Nachwahl: Restore Britain erhält mehr als 10 %?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Nachwahl in Makerfield: Erhält Restore Britain mehr als 10%?" mit 40%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 40¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 40% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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