Recent constituency polling in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, places Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at 7-8%, below the 10% threshold. Labour’s Andy Burnham leads with around 43%, followed by Reform UK on roughly 40%, reflecting a split in right-wing support between the two parties. Restore Britain, contesting its first Westminster seat after Rupert Lowe’s departure from Reform UK, has seen its canvassing claims exceed these figures, yet independent surveys indicate limited broader traction amid ongoing inter-party tensions and the first-past-the-post system favoring established contenders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMakerfield-Nachwahl: Restore Britain erhält mehr als 10 %?
Ja
NEU
NEU
18. Juni 2026
Ja
NEU
NEU
18. Juni 2026
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent constituency polling in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, places Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at 7-8%, below the 10% threshold. Labour’s Andy Burnham leads with around 43%, followed by Reform UK on roughly 40%, reflecting a split in right-wing support between the two parties. Restore Britain, contesting its first Westminster seat after Rupert Lowe’s departure from Reform UK, has seen its canvassing claims exceed these figures, yet independent surveys indicate limited broader traction amid ongoing inter-party tensions and the first-past-the-post system favoring established contenders.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Markt eröffnet: Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volumen
$3,956Enddatum
18. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent constituency polling in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, places Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at 7-8%, below the 10% threshold. Labour’s Andy Burnham leads with around 43%, followed by Reform UK on roughly 40%, reflecting a split in right-wing support between the two parties. Restore Britain, contesting its first Westminster seat after Rupert Lowe’s departure from Reform UK, has seen its canvassing claims exceed these figures, yet independent surveys indicate limited broader traction amid ongoing inter-party tensions and the first-past-the-post system favoring established contenders.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$3,956Enddatum
18. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent constituency polling in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, places Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at 7-8%, below the 10% threshold. Labour’s Andy Burnham leads with around 43%, followed by Reform UK on roughly 40%, reflecting a split in right-wing support between the two parties. Restore Britain, contesting its first Westminster seat after Rupert Lowe’s departure from Reform UK, has seen its canvassing claims exceed these figures, yet independent surveys indicate limited broader traction amid ongoing inter-party tensions and the first-past-the-post system favoring established contenders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen