The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race due to incumbent Governor Wes Moore's established advantages in a state with a strong Democratic partisan lean. Moore launched his re-election campaign in September 2025 and has maintained double-digit leads in recent polls against generic Republican opponents, with forecasters rating the contest as solidly Democratic. His approval ratings remain above 50 percent despite some softening, supported by primary election timing in June and the absence of prominent Republican challengers. Traders assign the Republican nominee just 5 percent probability, reflecting these structural factors. A late scandal, sharp economic downturn, or unusually strong Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before November voting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$15,599 Vol.
$15,599 Vol.

Demokrat
94%

Republikaner
5%
$15,599 Vol.
$15,599 Vol.

Demokrat
94%

Republikaner
5%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race due to incumbent Governor Wes Moore's established advantages in a state with a strong Democratic partisan lean. Moore launched his re-election campaign in September 2025 and has maintained double-digit leads in recent polls against generic Republican opponents, with forecasters rating the contest as solidly Democratic. His approval ratings remain above 50 percent despite some softening, supported by primary election timing in June and the absence of prominent Republican challengers. Traders assign the Republican nominee just 5 percent probability, reflecting these structural factors. A late scandal, sharp economic downturn, or unusually strong Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before November voting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen