Recent polling consistently positions Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson as the frontrunner in general election matchups, driving the 70% trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the open 2026 Michigan gubernatorial race. With term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer exiting, Benson has maintained leads of 3–5 points over Republican John James and independent Mike Duggan in April and May surveys, reflecting advantages in name recognition and voter coalitions across suburban and urban areas. Republican primary polling remains fragmented among James, Perry Johnson, and others ahead of the August 4 primaries, limiting that party's implied probability to 16.5%. The independent path at 14.5% rests on Duggan's Detroit base but shows limited statewide traction in head-to-head testing. These patterns align with historical open-seat dynamics in the state and explain the current market pricing without major shifts in the past month.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDemokrat 70%
Republikaner 17%
Unabhängig 15%
$180,991 Vol.
$180,991 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokrat
70%
Republikaner
17%
Unabhängig
15%
Demokrat 70%
Republikaner 17%
Unabhängig 15%
$180,991 Vol.
$180,991 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokrat
$39,809 Vol.
70%
Republikaner
$141,111 Vol.
17%
Unabhängig
$71 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling consistently positions Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson as the frontrunner in general election matchups, driving the 70% trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the open 2026 Michigan gubernatorial race. With term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer exiting, Benson has maintained leads of 3–5 points over Republican John James and independent Mike Duggan in April and May surveys, reflecting advantages in name recognition and voter coalitions across suburban and urban areas. Republican primary polling remains fragmented among James, Perry Johnson, and others ahead of the August 4 primaries, limiting that party's implied probability to 16.5%. The independent path at 14.5% rests on Duggan's Detroit base but shows limited statewide traction in head-to-head testing. These patterns align with historical open-seat dynamics in the state and explain the current market pricing without major shifts in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volumen
$180,991Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling consistently positions Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson as the frontrunner in general election matchups, driving the 70% trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the open 2026 Michigan gubernatorial race. With term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer exiting, Benson has maintained leads of 3–5 points over Republican John James and independent Mike Duggan in April and May surveys, reflecting advantages in name recognition and voter coalitions across suburban and urban areas. Republican primary polling remains fragmented among James, Perry Johnson, and others ahead of the August 4 primaries, limiting that party's implied probability to 16.5%. The independent path at 14.5% rests on Duggan's Detroit base but shows limited statewide traction in head-to-head testing. These patterns align with historical open-seat dynamics in the state and explain the current market pricing without major shifts in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$180,991Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling consistently positions Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson as the frontrunner in general election matchups, driving the 70% trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the open 2026 Michigan gubernatorial race. With term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer exiting, Benson has maintained leads of 3–5 points over Republican John James and independent Mike Duggan in April and May surveys, reflecting advantages in name recognition and voter coalitions across suburban and urban areas. Republican primary polling remains fragmented among James, Perry Johnson, and others ahead of the August 4 primaries, limiting that party's implied probability to 16.5%. The independent path at 14.5% rests on Duggan's Detroit base but shows limited statewide traction in head-to-head testing. These patterns align with historical open-seat dynamics in the state and explain the current market pricing without major shifts in the past month.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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