Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with over 83% of the vote, while John James won the Republican primary, establishing a clear two-candidate general election matchup for the open seat on November 3. Recent polling averages show Benson ahead by single digits among likely voters, reflecting her statewide profile as term-limited Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s successor and former secretary of state. The departure of independent candidate Mike Duggan earlier this year further consolidated support behind the major-party nominees. Trader pricing at 85.5% for the Democrat aligns with these results and historical patterns in Michigan open gubernatorial races, where the candidate with stronger name recognition and fundraising has typically prevailed absent major late-cycle shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDemokrat 86%
Republikaner 15%
Unabhängig 1.4%
$198,019 Vol.
$198,019 Vol.

Demokrat
86%

Republikaner
15%

Unabhängig
1%
Demokrat 86%
Republikaner 15%
Unabhängig 1.4%
$198,019 Vol.
$198,019 Vol.

Demokrat
86%

Republikaner
15%

Unabhängig
1%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with over 83% of the vote, while John James won the Republican primary, establishing a clear two-candidate general election matchup for the open seat on November 3. Recent polling averages show Benson ahead by single digits among likely voters, reflecting her statewide profile as term-limited Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s successor and former secretary of state. The departure of independent candidate Mike Duggan earlier this year further consolidated support behind the major-party nominees. Trader pricing at 85.5% for the Democrat aligns with these results and historical patterns in Michigan open gubernatorial races, where the candidate with stronger name recognition and fundraising has typically prevailed absent major late-cycle shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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