Michigan's 11th congressional district, encompassing suburban Oakland County communities such as Farmington Hills, Troy, and Pontiac, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 general election. Haley Stevens's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, yet the August 4 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Senator Jeremy Moss, who outperformed rivals including Aisha Farooqi. Cook Political Report ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent performance in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. Ethan Baker, the Republican nominee and Troy mayor, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have historically prevailed. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though current pricing embeds limited probability for such reversals before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMI-11 Wahlsieger
MI-11 Wahlsieger
$71,074 Vol.
$71,074 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
3%
$71,074 Vol.
$71,074 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$49,052 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$22,022 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district, encompassing suburban Oakland County communities such as Farmington Hills, Troy, and Pontiac, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 general election. Haley Stevens's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, yet the August 4 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Senator Jeremy Moss, who outperformed rivals including Aisha Farooqi. Cook Political Report ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent performance in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. Ethan Baker, the Republican nominee and Troy mayor, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have historically prevailed. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though current pricing embeds limited probability for such reversals before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$71,074Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district, encompassing suburban Oakland County communities such as Farmington Hills, Troy, and Pontiac, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 general election. Haley Stevens's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, yet the August 4 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Senator Jeremy Moss, who outperformed rivals including Aisha Farooqi. Cook Political Report ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent performance in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. Ethan Baker, the Republican nominee and Troy mayor, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have historically prevailed. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though current pricing embeds limited probability for such reversals before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$71,074Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th congressional district, encompassing suburban Oakland County communities such as Farmington Hills, Troy, and Pontiac, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 general election. Haley Stevens's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, yet the August 4 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Senator Jeremy Moss, who outperformed rivals including Aisha Farooqi. Cook Political Report ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent performance in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. Ethan Baker, the Republican nominee and Troy mayor, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have historically prevailed. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though current pricing embeds limited probability for such reversals before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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