Eric Pratt secured the Republican nomination for Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District in the August 11, 2026 primary after running unopposed. Earlier withdrawals by Tyler Kistner in April, citing Marine Reserve activation, and by Jeremy Westby ahead of the May convention removed meaningful competition. Pratt, a longtime state senator representing Scott County communities, consolidated support through party processes and delegate votes. With the primary concluded, traders price the outcome at 98% for Pratt based on the official result and absence of remaining challengers. Late procedural disputes, certification delays, or unforeseen ballot issues remain the only realistic paths that could still shift the slim residual probability attached to other names.