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Politik·Primär

Minnesota Republican Governor Primary Margin of Victory

icon for Minnesota Republican Governor Primary Margin of Victory
Politik·Primär

Minnesota Republican Governor Primary Margin of Victory

Demuth 10%+ 97.5%

Demuth 5–10% 2.5%

Lindell 20–25% 1.3%

Lindell 15–20% 1.2%

Polymarket

$846 Vol.

Demuth 10%+ 97.5%

Demuth 5–10% 2.5%

Lindell 20–25% 1.3%

Lindell 15–20% 1.2%

Polymarket

$846 Vol.

icon for Lindell 25%+

Lindell 25%+

$69 Vol.

1%

icon for Lindell 20–25%

Lindell 20–25%

$49 Vol.

1%

icon for Lindell 15–20%

Lindell 15–20%

$49 Vol.

1%

icon for Lindell 10–15%

Lindell 10–15%

$172 Vol.

1%

icon for Lindell 5–10%

Lindell 5–10%

$29 Vol.

1%

icon for Lindell <5%

Lindell <5%

$229 Vol.

1%

icon for Demuth <5%

Demuth <5%

$229 Vol.

1%

icon for Demuth 5–10%

Demuth 5–10%

$0 Vol.

2%

icon for Demuth 10%+

Demuth 10%+

$20 Vol.

98%

Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Lisa Demuth secured the Republican nomination for Minnesota governor in the August 11 primary by capturing roughly 43.5 percent of the vote, outpacing Mike Lindell by more than 11 percentage points and Kendall Qualls by over 22 points according to certified tallies. This decisive result, following endorsements from party establishment figures and Lindell's failure to consolidate support despite backing from President Trump, produced the commanding trader consensus on a double-digit margin. Lindell's post-election refusal to concede has introduced minor procedural uncertainty around final certification, yet the existing vote gap leaves little room for outcomes below 10 percent absent an unforeseen recount or legal challenge that alters thousands of ballots.

Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$846
Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Lisa Demuth secured the Republican nomination for Minnesota governor in the August 11 primary by capturing roughly 43.5 percent of the vote, outpacing Mike Lindell by more than 11 percentage points and Kendall Qualls by over 22 points according to certified tallies. This decisive result, following endorsements from party establishment figures and Lindell's failure to consolidate support despite backing from President Trump, produced the commanding trader consensus on a double-digit margin. Lindell's post-election refusal to concede has introduced minor procedural uncertainty around final certification, yet the existing vote gap leaves little room for outcomes below 10 percent absent an unforeseen recount or legal challenge that alters thousands of ballots.

Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$846
Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Verwandte

icon for Wird Peggy Flanagan die demokratische Vorwahl zum Senat von Minnesota mit 15–20 % Vorsprung gewinnen?

Wird Peggy Flanagan die demokratische Vorwahl zum Senat von Minnesota mit 15–20 % Vorsprung gewinnen?

98%
Ja
icon for Wird der Kandidat der Demokratischen Partei die Gouverneurswahl in Minnesota 2026 mit 15%-20% Vorsprung gewinnen?

Wird der Kandidat der Demokratischen Partei die Gouverneurswahl in Minnesota 2026 mit 15%-20% Vorsprung gewinnen?

26%
Ja
icon for Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?

Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?

45%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Minnesota Republican Governor Primary Margin of Victory" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Demuth 10%+" mit 98%, gefolgt von „Demuth 5–10%" mit 2%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 98¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 98% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Minnesota Republican Governor Primary Margin of Victory" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 7, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Minnesota Republican Governor Primary Margin of Victory" ist „Demuth 10%+" mit 98%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 98% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Demuth 5–10%" mit 2%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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