With the 2027 Oscars more than a year away and 2026 releases still ramping up, trader sentiment on Best Supporting Actor reflects an unusually open field. Multiple actors trade near 50% implied probability, signaling broad uncertainty before major festival premieres and guild nominations can establish momentum. Paul Giamatti holds the highest odds at 32.5%, followed by a tier of names including John Goodman and Robert Pattinson in the single digits, while dozens of others sit lower. Historical patterns show that early frontrunner status often shifts with precursor awards from SAG-AFTRA, critics' circles, and box-office tracking, leaving room for late surges or upsets once campaigns intensify.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 33%
John Goodman 8%
Robert Pattinson 7.3%
Sam Rockwell 6.8%
$10,256 Vol.
$10,256 Vol.

Paul Giamatti
33%

John Goodman
8%

Robert Pattinson
7%

Sam Rockwell
7%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Miles Teller
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Robert De Niro
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Edward Norton
3%

Travis Scott
3%

Michael Fassbender
3%

Channing Tatum
2%

Colman Domingo
7%

Charles Melton
2%

Adam Scott
2%

James Ortiz
1%
Paul Giamatti 33%
John Goodman 8%
Robert Pattinson 7.3%
Sam Rockwell 6.8%
$10,256 Vol.
$10,256 Vol.

Paul Giamatti
33%

John Goodman
8%

Robert Pattinson
7%

Sam Rockwell
7%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Miles Teller
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Robert De Niro
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Edward Norton
3%

Travis Scott
3%

Michael Fassbender
3%

Channing Tatum
2%

Colman Domingo
7%

Charles Melton
2%

Adam Scott
2%

James Ortiz
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2027 Oscars more than a year away and 2026 releases still ramping up, trader sentiment on Best Supporting Actor reflects an unusually open field. Multiple actors trade near 50% implied probability, signaling broad uncertainty before major festival premieres and guild nominations can establish momentum. Paul Giamatti holds the highest odds at 32.5%, followed by a tier of names including John Goodman and Robert Pattinson in the single digits, while dozens of others sit lower. Historical patterns show that early frontrunner status often shifts with precursor awards from SAG-AFTRA, critics' circles, and box-office tracking, leaving room for late surges or upsets once campaigns intensify.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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