Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance issued July 30 projects near-normal August rainfall, aligning with trader emphasis on sub-475 mm outcomes amid the southwest monsoon trough and typical tropical cyclone tracks that deliver episodic heavy showers. Early-month low-pressure systems triggered intense downpours exceeding 30–50 mm locally, yet subsequent easterly flow and high-pressure influence have produced drier intervals and very hot conditions that may cap totals. Remaining forecast uncertainty centers on late-month typhoon steering and intensification potential, with official monitoring updates likely to refine implied probabilities as the month progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertPrecipitation in Hong Kong in August?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
<425mm 42%
650-700mm 34%
475-500mm 32.2%
600-650mm 30.1%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
<425mm
36%
425-450mm
12%
450-475mm
26%
475-500mm
19%
500-525mm
22%
525-550mm
24%
550-600mm
16%
600-650mm
19%
650-700mm
25%
700mm+
21%
<425mm 42%
650-700mm 34%
475-500mm 32.2%
600-650mm 30.1%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
<425mm
$2,782 Vol.
36%
425-450mm
$248 Vol.
12%
450-475mm
$177 Vol.
26%
475-500mm
$278 Vol.
19%
500-525mm
$145 Vol.
22%
525-550mm
$198 Vol.
24%
550-600mm
$161 Vol.
16%
600-650mm
$280 Vol.
19%
650-700mm
$232 Vol.
25%
700mm+
$1,415 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between August 1 and August 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in August 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance issued July 30 projects near-normal August rainfall, aligning with trader emphasis on sub-475 mm outcomes amid the southwest monsoon trough and typical tropical cyclone tracks that deliver episodic heavy showers. Early-month low-pressure systems triggered intense downpours exceeding 30–50 mm locally, yet subsequent easterly flow and high-pressure influence have produced drier intervals and very hot conditions that may cap totals. Remaining forecast uncertainty centers on late-month typhoon steering and intensification potential, with official monitoring updates likely to refine implied probabilities as the month progresses.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between August 1 and August 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in August 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in August 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ET
Volumen
$5,916Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between August 1 and August 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in August 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance issued July 30 projects near-normal August rainfall, aligning with trader emphasis on sub-475 mm outcomes amid the southwest monsoon trough and typical tropical cyclone tracks that deliver episodic heavy showers. Early-month low-pressure systems triggered intense downpours exceeding 30–50 mm locally, yet subsequent easterly flow and high-pressure influence have produced drier intervals and very hot conditions that may cap totals. Remaining forecast uncertainty centers on late-month typhoon steering and intensification potential, with official monitoring updates likely to refine implied probabilities as the month progresses.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between August 1 and August 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in August 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in August 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,916Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance issued July 30 projects near-normal August rainfall, aligning with trader emphasis on sub-475 mm outcomes amid the southwest monsoon trough and typical tropical cyclone tracks that deliver episodic heavy showers. Early-month low-pressure systems triggered intense downpours exceeding 30–50 mm locally, yet subsequent easterly flow and high-pressure influence have produced drier intervals and very hot conditions that may cap totals. Remaining forecast uncertainty centers on late-month typhoon steering and intensification potential, with official monitoring updates likely to refine implied probabilities as the month progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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