Romania's parliament ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-European coalition government through a no-confidence vote on May 5, 2026, passing 281-4 in the 464-seat body. President Nicușor Dan has ruled out snap elections, directing efforts toward forming a new cabinet through coalition negotiations rather than dissolution. With parliamentary elections scheduled for 2028 and major parties facing unfavorable polling shifts—particularly the far-right AUR leading at around 37 percent—political actors show little incentive to trigger early polls. Historical precedent since 1989 reinforces this stability, as no Romanian parliament has dissolved early. These factors underpin trader consensus that dissolution remains improbable before the July 31 deadline.