In South Carolina's 1st congressional district, trader consensus reflects a narrow edge for Republican Jenny Costa Honeycutt over Democrat Nancy Lacore amid a competitive 2026 midterm contest. Recent polling averages and early voting data show the candidates running within a few points, driven by the district's mix of suburban Charleston voters and coastal turnout patterns that have historically favored the incumbent party. Fundraising reports and local endorsements have kept both sides competitive, while national midterm dynamics and candidate positioning on issues like coastal infrastructure and economic growth continue to influence voter sentiment. Scheduled events such as upcoming debates and get-out-the-vote efforts through Election Day could shift the implied probabilities if they alter turnout among key blocs.