President Donald Trump’s continued tenure through the end of 2026 underpins the 90.5% trader consensus against early removal. Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have blocked Democratic-led impeachment resolutions and 25th Amendment commission proposals introduced in April 2026 over concerns about presidential fitness and Iran-related statements. No cabinet-level invocation of removal procedures or credible evidence of incapacity has surfaced, while the White House has maintained a full schedule of nominations, policy announcements, and executive actions into May. Historical precedent shows that successful presidential removals require overwhelming bipartisan support rarely achieved in a divided political environment. Late developments such as a sudden health crisis or unforeseen scandal could still alter outcomes, yet current institutional and partisan realities continue to anchor expectations of stability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$8,520,176 Vol.
$8,520,176 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$8,520,176 Vol.
$8,520,176 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump’s continued tenure through the end of 2026 underpins the 90.5% trader consensus against early removal. Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have blocked Democratic-led impeachment resolutions and 25th Amendment commission proposals introduced in April 2026 over concerns about presidential fitness and Iran-related statements. No cabinet-level invocation of removal procedures or credible evidence of incapacity has surfaced, while the White House has maintained a full schedule of nominations, policy announcements, and executive actions into May. Historical precedent shows that successful presidential removals require overwhelming bipartisan support rarely achieved in a divided political environment. Late developments such as a sudden health crisis or unforeseen scandal could still alter outcomes, yet current institutional and partisan realities continue to anchor expectations of stability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volumen
$8,520,176Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump’s continued tenure through the end of 2026 underpins the 90.5% trader consensus against early removal. Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have blocked Democratic-led impeachment resolutions and 25th Amendment commission proposals introduced in April 2026 over concerns about presidential fitness and Iran-related statements. No cabinet-level invocation of removal procedures or credible evidence of incapacity has surfaced, while the White House has maintained a full schedule of nominations, policy announcements, and executive actions into May. Historical precedent shows that successful presidential removals require overwhelming bipartisan support rarely achieved in a divided political environment. Late developments such as a sudden health crisis or unforeseen scandal could still alter outcomes, yet current institutional and partisan realities continue to anchor expectations of stability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$8,520,176Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s continued tenure through the end of 2026 underpins the 90.5% trader consensus against early removal. Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have blocked Democratic-led impeachment resolutions and 25th Amendment commission proposals introduced in April 2026 over concerns about presidential fitness and Iran-related statements. No cabinet-level invocation of removal procedures or credible evidence of incapacity has surfaced, while the White House has maintained a full schedule of nominations, policy announcements, and executive actions into May. Historical precedent shows that successful presidential removals require overwhelming bipartisan support rarely achieved in a divided political environment. Late developments such as a sudden health crisis or unforeseen scandal could still alter outcomes, yet current institutional and partisan realities continue to anchor expectations of stability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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