With Donald Trump's second term well underway and no active impeachment proceedings or congressional efforts targeting his removal, traders assign overwhelming probability against his departure from office before the end of May. Republicans hold majorities in both chambers, raising the bar for any successful conviction far above historical precedent. No recent health developments, resignation signals, or constitutional crises have surfaced to suggest otherwise. While an unforeseen medical event or late-breaking scandal could theoretically alter the timeline, the brief remaining window and lack of supporting political momentum make such outcomes highly unlikely in the eyes of market participants.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$1,535,199 Vol.
$1,535,199 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
$1,535,199 Vol.
$1,535,199 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.With Donald Trump's second term well underway and no active impeachment proceedings or congressional efforts targeting his removal, traders assign overwhelming probability against his departure from office before the end of May. Republicans hold majorities in both chambers, raising the bar for any successful conviction far above historical precedent. No recent health developments, resignation signals, or constitutional crises have surfaced to suggest otherwise. While an unforeseen medical event or late-breaking scandal could theoretically alter the timeline, the brief remaining window and lack of supporting political momentum make such outcomes highly unlikely in the eyes of market participants.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volumen
$1,535,199Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.With Donald Trump's second term well underway and no active impeachment proceedings or congressional efforts targeting his removal, traders assign overwhelming probability against his departure from office before the end of May. Republicans hold majorities in both chambers, raising the bar for any successful conviction far above historical precedent. No recent health developments, resignation signals, or constitutional crises have surfaced to suggest otherwise. While an unforeseen medical event or late-breaking scandal could theoretically alter the timeline, the brief remaining window and lack of supporting political momentum make such outcomes highly unlikely in the eyes of market participants.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,535,199Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With Donald Trump's second term well underway and no active impeachment proceedings or congressional efforts targeting his removal, traders assign overwhelming probability against his departure from office before the end of May. Republicans hold majorities in both chambers, raising the bar for any successful conviction far above historical precedent. No recent health developments, resignation signals, or constitutional crises have surfaced to suggest otherwise. While an unforeseen medical event or late-breaking scandal could theoretically alter the timeline, the brief remaining window and lack of supporting political momentum make such outcomes highly unlikely in the eyes of market participants.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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