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Politik·Trump-Xi-Gipfel

Trump-Xi-Gipfel: Was wird China bis zum 22. Mai ankündigen?

icon for Trump-Xi-Gipfel: Was wird China bis zum 22. Mai ankündigen?
Politik·Trump-Xi-Gipfel

Trump-Xi-Gipfel: Was wird China bis zum 22. Mai ankündigen?

$167,612 Vol.

22. Mai 2026
Polymarket

$167,612 Vol.

Polymarket

Boeing-Flugzeugkauf

$71,198 Vol.

40%

US-Sojabohnenkauf

$21,773 Vol.

30%

Erleichterungen beim Export seltener Erden

$14,965 Vol.

5%

US-Öl-Kauf

$29,918 Vol.

5%

Teilnahme an den Iran-Verhandlungen

$29,759 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of at least one Boeing aircraft by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase or order, or has definitively agreed to purchase or order, at least one Boeing aircraft. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase or order announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the aircraft is delivered. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of U.S. soybeans by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase, or has definitively agreed to purchase, U.S. soybeans. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for trade cooperation, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the soybeans are delivered. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces rare earth export relief for the United States between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Rare earth export relief includes any reduction, removal, or suspension of Chinese export controls or export restrictions affecting the export of rare earth elements, minerals, magnets, or related products to the United States. The extension of an existing Chinese commitment to allow exports of, or suspend export controls on, rare-earth materials to the United States (e.g. the rare earth export deal reached by the United States and China in October 2025) will also qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the rare earth export relief goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of U.S. oil by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase, or has definitively agreed to purchase, U.S. oil. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the oil is delivered. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14-15 produced modest economic agreements, including Chinese commitments to purchase Boeing aircraft, U.S. agricultural products, and liquefied natural gas, alongside plans for bilateral trade and investment forums. These outcomes have shaped trader expectations for further official Chinese announcements by May 22 on related purchases or extensions of critical minerals cooperation. Discussions also covered Taiwan, Iran, artificial intelligence, and nuclear issues without major breakthroughs, leaving cross-strait stability and rare-earth supply chains as key unresolved variables. Follow-up statements from Beijing officials in the coming days could clarify implementation timelines for the announced trade measures or introduce additional deliverables, while any lack of progress on security topics may keep probabilities balanced around incremental economic stabilization rather than broader diplomatic resets.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.

Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$167,612
Enddatum
22. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 12, 2026, 10:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of at least one Boeing aircraft by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase or order, or has definitively agreed to purchase or order, at least one Boeing aircraft. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase or order announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the aircraft is delivered. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of U.S. soybeans by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase, or has definitively agreed to purchase, U.S. soybeans. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for trade cooperation, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the soybeans are delivered. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces rare earth export relief for the United States between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Rare earth export relief includes any reduction, removal, or suspension of Chinese export controls or export restrictions affecting the export of rare earth elements, minerals, magnets, or related products to the United States. The extension of an existing Chinese commitment to allow exports of, or suspend export controls on, rare-earth materials to the United States (e.g. the rare earth export deal reached by the United States and China in October 2025) will also qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the rare earth export relief goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of U.S. oil by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase, or has definitively agreed to purchase, U.S. oil. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the oil is delivered. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14-15 produced modest economic agreements, including Chinese commitments to purchase Boeing aircraft, U.S. agricultural products, and liquefied natural gas, alongside plans for bilateral trade and investment forums. These outcomes have shaped trader expectations for further official Chinese announcements by May 22 on related purchases or extensions of critical minerals cooperation. Discussions also covered Taiwan, Iran, artificial intelligence, and nuclear issues without major breakthroughs, leaving cross-strait stability and rare-earth supply chains as key unresolved variables. Follow-up statements from Beijing officials in the coming days could clarify implementation timelines for the announced trade measures or introduce additional deliverables, while any lack of progress on security topics may keep probabilities balanced around incremental economic stabilization rather than broader diplomatic resets.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.

Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$167,612
Enddatum
22. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 12, 2026, 10:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Trump-Xi-Gipfel: Was wird China bis zum 22. Mai ankündigen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Boeing-Flugzeugkauf" mit 40%, gefolgt von „US-Sojabohnenkauf" mit 30%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 40¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 40% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Trump-Xi-Gipfel: Was wird China bis zum 22. Mai ankündigen?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $167.6K generiert, seit der Markt am May 12, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Trump-Xi-Gipfel: Was wird China bis zum 22. Mai ankündigen?" ist „Boeing-Flugzeugkauf" mit 40%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 40% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „US-Sojabohnenkauf" mit 30%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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