Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, following Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as his successor two days earlier. Powell announced in late April that he would step down from the chairmanship but remain on the Board of Governors through 2028, citing concerns over institutional independence amid prior political pressure and a now-resolved Justice Department inquiry. Traders have focused on this fixed statutory timeline and the absence of any extension or resignation before the deadline, with Warsh’s confirmation vote providing the clearest signal that the transition would occur on schedule. No further Senate action or executive order altered the May 15 date, leaving little room for deviation from the established four-year chair term.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$197,871 Vol.
May 16
<1%
June 30
99%
May 31
92%
$197,871 Vol.
May 16
<1%
June 30
99%
May 31
92%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, following Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as his successor two days earlier. Powell announced in late April that he would step down from the chairmanship but remain on the Board of Governors through 2028, citing concerns over institutional independence amid prior political pressure and a now-resolved Justice Department inquiry. Traders have focused on this fixed statutory timeline and the absence of any extension or resignation before the deadline, with Warsh’s confirmation vote providing the clearest signal that the transition would occur on schedule. No further Senate action or executive order altered the May 15 date, leaving little room for deviation from the established four-year chair term.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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