The April 2026 FOMC meeting’s record four dissents—the most since 1992—centered on three regional presidents opposing the statement’s easing bias amid inflation remaining above the 2% target, while Governor Miran favored an immediate cut, pushing the federal funds rate hold at 3.50%-3.75%. Market-implied odds now assign a 65.5% probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 meeting, reflecting expectations of greater cohesion under newly confirmed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish stance and a likely removal of any easing language. Recent May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases are key upcoming catalysts that could reinforce a neutral policy path, with futures pricing fewer than 10% odds of 2026 rate cuts overall.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHow many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 67%
1 19%
3 9%
2 7%
$16,994 Vol.
$16,994 Vol.
0
67%
1
19%
2
7%
3
9%
4+
2%
0 67%
1 19%
3 9%
2 7%
$16,994 Vol.
$16,994 Vol.
0
67%
1
19%
2
7%
3
9%
4+
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The April 2026 FOMC meeting’s record four dissents—the most since 1992—centered on three regional presidents opposing the statement’s easing bias amid inflation remaining above the 2% target, while Governor Miran favored an immediate cut, pushing the federal funds rate hold at 3.50%-3.75%. Market-implied odds now assign a 65.5% probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 meeting, reflecting expectations of greater cohesion under newly confirmed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish stance and a likely removal of any easing language. Recent May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases are key upcoming catalysts that could reinforce a neutral policy path, with futures pricing fewer than 10% odds of 2026 rate cuts overall.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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