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How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

icon for How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Juni 17

Juni 17

0 67%

1 19%

3 9%

2 7%

Polymarket

$16,994 Vol.

0 67%

1 19%

3 9%

2 7%

Polymarket

$16,994 Vol.

0

$11,256 Vol.

67%

1

$357 Vol.

19%

2

$155 Vol.

7%

3

$156 Vol.

9%

4+

$5,072 Vol.

2%

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The April 2026 FOMC meeting’s record four dissents—the most since 1992—centered on three regional presidents opposing the statement’s easing bias amid inflation remaining above the 2% target, while Governor Miran favored an immediate cut, pushing the federal funds rate hold at 3.50%-3.75%. Market-implied odds now assign a 65.5% probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 meeting, reflecting expectations of greater cohesion under newly confirmed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish stance and a likely removal of any easing language. Recent May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases are key upcoming catalysts that could reinforce a neutral policy path, with futures pricing fewer than 10% odds of 2026 rate cuts overall.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$16,994
Enddatum
17. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The April 2026 FOMC meeting’s record four dissents—the most since 1992—centered on three regional presidents opposing the statement’s easing bias amid inflation remaining above the 2% target, while Governor Miran favored an immediate cut, pushing the federal funds rate hold at 3.50%-3.75%. Market-implied odds now assign a 65.5% probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 meeting, reflecting expectations of greater cohesion under newly confirmed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish stance and a likely removal of any easing language. Recent May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases are key upcoming catalysts that could reinforce a neutral policy path, with futures pricing fewer than 10% odds of 2026 rate cuts overall.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$16,994
Enddatum
17. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „0" mit 67%, gefolgt von „1" mit 19%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 67¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 67% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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