Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's four-year term expires today, May 15, driving trader consensus at 98.7% for his departure in the May 15–22 window, as he confirmed in late April he would step aside at term's end while remaining a low-profile Board of Governors member through January 2028. Senate confirmation of President Trump's nominee, Kevin Warsh, on May 13 along party lines (54-45 vote) clears the path for an immediate handover, aligning with historical precedent for chairs transitioning upon successor approval. Recent coverage emphasizes this procedural milestone amid Fed independence debates, with no delays signaled. Challenges could arise from swearing-in logistics or unforeseen legal holds on Warsh, though Powell's statements indicate no extension as chair.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 98.6%
May 30–June 5 1.1%
June 20–26 <1%
May 23–29 <1%
$122,802 Vol.
$122,802 Vol.
May 15–22
99%
May 23–29
1%
May 30–June 5
1%
June 6–12
1%
June 13–19
1%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
<1%
After July 3
<1%
May 15–22 98.6%
May 30–June 5 1.1%
June 20–26 <1%
May 23–29 <1%
$122,802 Vol.
$122,802 Vol.
May 15–22
99%
May 23–29
1%
May 30–June 5
1%
June 6–12
1%
June 13–19
1%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
<1%
After July 3
<1%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's four-year term expires today, May 15, driving trader consensus at 98.7% for his departure in the May 15–22 window, as he confirmed in late April he would step aside at term's end while remaining a low-profile Board of Governors member through January 2028. Senate confirmation of President Trump's nominee, Kevin Warsh, on May 13 along party lines (54-45 vote) clears the path for an immediate handover, aligning with historical precedent for chairs transitioning upon successor approval. Recent coverage emphasizes this procedural milestone amid Fed independence debates, with no delays signaled. Challenges could arise from swearing-in logistics or unforeseen legal holds on Warsh, though Powell's statements indicate no extension as chair.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen