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When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

icon for When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

May 15–22 98.6%

May 30–June 5 1.1%

June 20–26 <1%

May 23–29 <1%

Polymarket

$122,802 Vol.

May 15–22 98.6%

May 30–June 5 1.1%

June 20–26 <1%

May 23–29 <1%

Polymarket

$122,802 Vol.

May 15–22

$32,044 Vol.

99%

May 23–29

$6,325 Vol.

1%

May 30–June 5

$5,938 Vol.

1%

June 6–12

$7,136 Vol.

1%

June 13–19

$6,713 Vol.

1%

June 20–26

$9,622 Vol.

1%

June 27–July 3

$3,216 Vol.

<1%

After July 3

$14,856 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's four-year term expires today, May 15, driving trader consensus at 98.7% for his departure in the May 15–22 window, as he confirmed in late April he would step aside at term's end while remaining a low-profile Board of Governors member through January 2028. Senate confirmation of President Trump's nominee, Kevin Warsh, on May 13 along party lines (54-45 vote) clears the path for an immediate handover, aligning with historical precedent for chairs transitioning upon successor approval. Recent coverage emphasizes this procedural milestone amid Fed independence debates, with no delays signaled. Challenges could arise from swearing-in logistics or unforeseen legal holds on Warsh, though Powell's statements indicate no extension as chair.

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.

Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.

The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.

This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.

All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$122,802
Enddatum
3. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's four-year term expires today, May 15, driving trader consensus at 98.7% for his departure in the May 15–22 window, as he confirmed in late April he would step aside at term's end while remaining a low-profile Board of Governors member through January 2028. Senate confirmation of President Trump's nominee, Kevin Warsh, on May 13 along party lines (54-45 vote) clears the path for an immediate handover, aligning with historical precedent for chairs transitioning upon successor approval. Recent coverage emphasizes this procedural milestone amid Fed independence debates, with no delays signaled. Challenges could arise from swearing-in logistics or unforeseen legal holds on Warsh, though Powell's statements indicate no extension as chair.

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.

Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.

The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.

This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.

All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$122,802
Enddatum
3. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „May 15–22" mit 99%, gefolgt von „May 23–29" mit 1%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 99¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $122.8K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 16, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?" ist „May 15–22" mit 99%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „May 23–29" mit 1%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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