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icon for Was wird der Leitzins vor 2027 erreichen?
Economy·Jerome Powell

Was wird der Leitzins vor 2027 erreichen?

icon for Was wird der Leitzins vor 2027 erreichen?
Economy·Jerome Powell

Was wird der Leitzins vor 2027 erreichen?

$1,842,636 Vol.

30. Dez. 2026
Polymarket

$1,842,636 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 5,5 %

$55,364 Vol.

3%

↑ 5,25 %

$142,579 Vol.

3%

↑ 5,0 %

$19,154 Vol.

3%

↑ 4,75 %

$80,622 Vol.

4%

↑ 4,5 %

$39,789 Vol.

24%

↑ 4,25 %

$129,864 Vol.

76%

↓ 3,25 %

$81,643 Vol.

4%

↓ 3,0 %

$320,038 Vol.

<1%

↓ 2,75 %

$366,465 Vol.

2%

↓ 2,5 %

$225,788 Vol.

1%

↓ 2,25 %

$41,840 Vol.

2%

↓ 2,0 %

$21,380 Vol.

3%

↓ 1,75 %

$13,136 Vol.

1%

↓ 1,5 %

$28,320 Vol.

2%

↓ 1,25 %

$3,778 Vol.

1%

↓ 1,0 %

$2,319 Vol.

2%

↓ 0,75 %

$741 Vol.

1%

↓ 0,5 %

$107,202 Vol.

2%

↓ 0,25 %

$132,406 Vol.

2%

↓ 0 %

$21,203 Vol.

2%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.**Recent FOMC actions and economic data are the main drivers of trader positioning on whether the federal funds target range will reach specific levels before 2027.** On September 16, 2026, the Committee unanimously raised the range by 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00 percent—its first hike since 2023—citing elevated inflation (PCE around 3.6–3.7 percent for 2026) and resilient growth despite geopolitical uncertainty. Updated projections show a median policy rate of 4.1 percent by year-end 2026, with 16 of 18 participants expecting at least one additional quarter-point hike, while the 2027 median also holds near 4.1 percent before any easing. A solid labor market (unemployment near 4.1 percent) and strong productivity give policymakers room to prioritize price stability over near-term cuts. Key upcoming catalysts include the October 27–28 and December 8–9 FOMC meetings, plus monthly CPI, PCE, and employment releases that could shift rate-path expectations and market-implied odds.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Volumen
$1,842,636
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.**Recent FOMC actions and economic data are the main drivers of trader positioning on whether the federal funds target range will reach specific levels before 2027.** On September 16, 2026, the Committee unanimously raised the range by 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00 percent—its first hike since 2023—citing elevated inflation (PCE around 3.6–3.7 percent for 2026) and resilient growth despite geopolitical uncertainty. Updated projections show a median policy rate of 4.1 percent by year-end 2026, with 16 of 18 participants expecting at least one additional quarter-point hike, while the 2027 median also holds near 4.1 percent before any easing. A solid labor market (unemployment near 4.1 percent) and strong productivity give policymakers room to prioritize price stability over near-term cuts. Key upcoming catalysts include the October 27–28 and December 8–9 FOMC meetings, plus monthly CPI, PCE, and employment releases that could shift rate-path expectations and market-implied odds.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Volumen
$1,842,636
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Verwandte

icon for Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

68%
icon for Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

57%
icon for Wird die Obergrenze des Zielkorridors für den Federal Funds Rate Ende 2026 bei 4,25 % liegen?

Wird die Obergrenze des Zielkorridors für den Federal Funds Rate Ende 2026 bei 4,25 % liegen?

53%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Was wird der Leitzins vor 2027 erreichen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 21 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „↓ 3,5 %" mit 100%, gefolgt von „↑ 4,25 %" mit 76%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Was wird der Leitzins vor 2027 erreichen?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $1.8 million generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 18, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Was wird der Leitzins vor 2027 erreichen?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 21 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Was wird der Leitzins vor 2027 erreichen?" ist „↓ 3,5 %" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „↑ 4,25 %" mit 76%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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