Recent diplomatic developments have kept the next US-Iran meeting venue tightly contested in trader assessments. Pakistan-mediated indirect talks in Islamabad during April 2026 produced a temporary ceasefire but ended without agreement, leaving negotiations stalled amid Iranian statements of limited trust in US commitments and rejection of recent proposals. This uncertainty has elevated the likelihood of no further session by June 30 while sustaining Pakistan as the leading candidate due to its ongoing role as primary intermediary. Traditional venues such as Oman or Switzerland remain options if indirect channels reopen, yet procedural delays and conflicting signals from both sides have prevented any single location from pulling decisively ahead. Scheduled diplomatic contacts through Pakistani facilitators in the coming weeks could shift consensus rapidly depending on whether parties confirm a resumption date and site.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWo findet das nächste diplomatische Treffen zwischen den USA und dem Iran statt?
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni 48.3%
Pakistan 41.6%
Andere 2.8%
Schweiz 2.0%
$6,460,575 Vol.
$6,460,575 Vol.
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni
48%
Pakistan
42%
Andere
3%
Schweiz
2%
Oman
2%
Katar
1%
Österreich
1%
USA
<1%
Ägypten
<1%
Türkei
<1%
Italien
<1%
Iran
<1%
Irak
<1%
Andere - Naher Osten/Nordafrika
<1%
Andere - Europa
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
<1%
Russland
<1%
VAE
<1%
Kasachstan
<1%
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni 48.3%
Pakistan 41.6%
Andere 2.8%
Schweiz 2.0%
$6,460,575 Vol.
$6,460,575 Vol.
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni
48%
Pakistan
42%
Andere
3%
Schweiz
2%
Oman
2%
Katar
1%
Österreich
1%
USA
<1%
Ägypten
<1%
Türkei
<1%
Italien
<1%
Iran
<1%
Irak
<1%
Andere - Naher Osten/Nordafrika
<1%
Andere - Europa
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
<1%
Russland
<1%
VAE
<1%
Kasachstan
<1%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent diplomatic developments have kept the next US-Iran meeting venue tightly contested in trader assessments. Pakistan-mediated indirect talks in Islamabad during April 2026 produced a temporary ceasefire but ended without agreement, leaving negotiations stalled amid Iranian statements of limited trust in US commitments and rejection of recent proposals. This uncertainty has elevated the likelihood of no further session by June 30 while sustaining Pakistan as the leading candidate due to its ongoing role as primary intermediary. Traditional venues such as Oman or Switzerland remain options if indirect channels reopen, yet procedural delays and conflicting signals from both sides have prevented any single location from pulling decisively ahead. Scheduled diplomatic contacts through Pakistani facilitators in the coming weeks could shift consensus rapidly depending on whether parties confirm a resumption date and site.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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