Alaska's open nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 features 17 candidates vying for four spots in the November ranked-choice general election for an open governorship after term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy. Recent polling shows Democrat Tom Begich leading at 16-22 percent support, followed by a tight group including fellow Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, Republicans Click Bishop, David Bronson, and Bernadette Wilson, plus independent Bill Walker. Observers cite the fragmented field, Alaska's single-ballot primary rules, and Begich's name recognition and fundraising as key factors positioning the two Democrats as frontrunners to advance alongside one or two Republicans. The vote tomorrow will determine advancement based on final tallies in this low-turnout contest.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$261,279 Vol.

Tom Begich
99%

Bernadette Wilson
92%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
79%

Click Bishop
35%

Dave Bronson
36%

Bill Walker
32%

Treg Taylor
27%

Adam Crum
12%

Edna DeVries
3%

Lesil McGuire
2%

Matt Heilala
2%

Shelley Hughes
2%

Bruce Walden
1%

Hank Kroll
1%

Matt Claman
1%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
1%

Jessica Faircloth
1%

Gregg Brelsford
1%

Nancy Dahlstrom
<1%

James Parkin
<1%
$261,279 Vol.

Tom Begich
99%

Bernadette Wilson
92%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
79%

Click Bishop
35%

Dave Bronson
36%

Bill Walker
32%

Treg Taylor
27%

Adam Crum
12%

Edna DeVries
3%

Lesil McGuire
2%

Matt Heilala
2%

Shelley Hughes
2%

Bruce Walden
1%

Hank Kroll
1%

Matt Claman
1%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
1%

Jessica Faircloth
1%

Gregg Brelsford
1%

Nancy Dahlstrom
<1%

James Parkin
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Alaska's open nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 features 17 candidates vying for four spots in the November ranked-choice general election for an open governorship after term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy. Recent polling shows Democrat Tom Begich leading at 16-22 percent support, followed by a tight group including fellow Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, Republicans Click Bishop, David Bronson, and Bernadette Wilson, plus independent Bill Walker. Observers cite the fragmented field, Alaska's single-ballot primary rules, and Begich's name recognition and fundraising as key factors positioning the two Democrats as frontrunners to advance alongside one or two Republicans. The vote tomorrow will determine advancement based on final tallies in this low-turnout contest.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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