Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including the conflict that erupted in late February 2026, continue to shape trader consensus against embassy reopening by year-end. Recent escalations have produced stalled nuclear talks, with a failed April session in Pakistan and President Trump's rejection of Tehran's latest proposal over sanctions relief and regional issues. New sanctions targeting Iran's oil trade and weapons networks took effect May 1, while State Department security alerts through late April urged Americans to depart amid ongoing terrorism risks. Absent a verified diplomatic breakthrough or regime shift, the four-decade freeze in formal ties since 1979 reinforces the high implied probability that normalization will not occur before December 31.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWerden die USA 2026 ihre Botschaft im Iran wiedereröffnen?
Werden die USA 2026 ihre Botschaft im Iran wiedereröffnen?
Ja
$79,784 Vol.
$79,784 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$79,784 Vol.
$79,784 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including the conflict that erupted in late February 2026, continue to shape trader consensus against embassy reopening by year-end. Recent escalations have produced stalled nuclear talks, with a failed April session in Pakistan and President Trump's rejection of Tehran's latest proposal over sanctions relief and regional issues. New sanctions targeting Iran's oil trade and weapons networks took effect May 1, while State Department security alerts through late April urged Americans to depart amid ongoing terrorism risks. Absent a verified diplomatic breakthrough or regime shift, the four-decade freeze in formal ties since 1979 reinforces the high implied probability that normalization will not occur before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Volumen
$79,784Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including the conflict that erupted in late February 2026, continue to shape trader consensus against embassy reopening by year-end. Recent escalations have produced stalled nuclear talks, with a failed April session in Pakistan and President Trump's rejection of Tehran's latest proposal over sanctions relief and regional issues. New sanctions targeting Iran's oil trade and weapons networks took effect May 1, while State Department security alerts through late April urged Americans to depart amid ongoing terrorism risks. Absent a verified diplomatic breakthrough or regime shift, the four-decade freeze in formal ties since 1979 reinforces the high implied probability that normalization will not occur before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$79,784Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including the conflict that erupted in late February 2026, continue to shape trader consensus against embassy reopening by year-end. Recent escalations have produced stalled nuclear talks, with a failed April session in Pakistan and President Trump's rejection of Tehran's latest proposal over sanctions relief and regional issues. New sanctions targeting Iran's oil trade and weapons networks took effect May 1, while State Department security alerts through late April urged Americans to depart amid ongoing terrorism risks. Absent a verified diplomatic breakthrough or regime shift, the four-decade freeze in formal ties since 1979 reinforces the high implied probability that normalization will not occur before December 31.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen