Trader consensus assigns a 67% implied probability to impeachment before the term ends, reflecting House control, partisan incentives, and the procedural threshold of a simple majority vote on articles of impeachment. With divided government dynamics and ongoing oversight of executive actions, investigations into policy implementation and agency decisions have sustained pressure on congressional calendars. The two-thirds Senate conviction requirement continues to shape expectations, as historical patterns show most impeachment efforts stall short of removal. Scheduled legislative sessions and potential shifts from the 2026 midterms remain key variables that could accelerate or deter formal proceedings within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Trump vor Ablauf seiner Amtszeit angeklagt?
Wird Trump vor Ablauf seiner Amtszeit angeklagt?
Ja
67% Chance
$94,126 Vol.
$94,126 Vol.
19. Jan. 2029
Ja
67% Chance
$94,126 Vol.
$94,126 Vol.
19. Jan. 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus assigns a 67% implied probability to impeachment before the term ends, reflecting House control, partisan incentives, and the procedural threshold of a simple majority vote on articles of impeachment. With divided government dynamics and ongoing oversight of executive actions, investigations into policy implementation and agency decisions have sustained pressure on congressional calendars. The two-thirds Senate conviction requirement continues to shape expectations, as historical patterns show most impeachment efforts stall short of removal. Scheduled legislative sessions and potential shifts from the 2026 midterms remain key variables that could accelerate or deter formal proceedings within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volumen
$94,126Enddatum
20. Jan. 2029Markt eröffnet
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus assigns a 67% implied probability to impeachment before the term ends, reflecting House control, partisan incentives, and the procedural threshold of a simple majority vote on articles of impeachment. With divided government dynamics and ongoing oversight of executive actions, investigations into policy implementation and agency decisions have sustained pressure on congressional calendars. The two-thirds Senate conviction requirement continues to shape expectations, as historical patterns show most impeachment efforts stall short of removal. Scheduled legislative sessions and potential shifts from the 2026 midterms remain key variables that could accelerate or deter formal proceedings within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volumen
$94,126Enddatum
20. Jan. 2029Markt eröffnet
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus assigns a 67% implied probability to impeachment before the term ends, reflecting House control, partisan incentives, and the procedural threshold of a simple majority vote on articles of impeachment. With divided government dynamics and ongoing oversight of executive actions, investigations into policy implementation and agency decisions have sustained pressure on congressional calendars. The two-thirds Senate conviction requirement continues to shape expectations, as historical patterns show most impeachment efforts stall short of removal. Scheduled legislative sessions and potential shifts from the 2026 midterms remain key variables that could accelerate or deter formal proceedings within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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