Democratic control or narrow majorities in the House, combined with ongoing investigations into administration actions on foreign policy and domestic matters, have elevated the trader consensus to a 67% implied probability that articles of impeachment will pass before January 2029. Resolutions introduced in 2025 over issues including Iran-related statements, alongside calls for accountability from members of Congress, reflect partisan divisions and procedural opportunities in the current Congress. GOP internal frictions and upcoming electoral dynamics further contribute to expectations of continued pressure through the midterm cycle, though Senate conviction remains a separate threshold with lower historical success rates. Traders weigh these institutional and legislative factors against the structural barriers of party-line voting patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Trump vor Ablauf seiner Amtszeit angeklagt?
Wird Trump vor Ablauf seiner Amtszeit angeklagt?
Ja
67% Chance
$94,126 Vol.
$94,126 Vol.
19. Jan. 2029
Ja
67% Chance
$94,126 Vol.
$94,126 Vol.
19. Jan. 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic control or narrow majorities in the House, combined with ongoing investigations into administration actions on foreign policy and domestic matters, have elevated the trader consensus to a 67% implied probability that articles of impeachment will pass before January 2029. Resolutions introduced in 2025 over issues including Iran-related statements, alongside calls for accountability from members of Congress, reflect partisan divisions and procedural opportunities in the current Congress. GOP internal frictions and upcoming electoral dynamics further contribute to expectations of continued pressure through the midterm cycle, though Senate conviction remains a separate threshold with lower historical success rates. Traders weigh these institutional and legislative factors against the structural barriers of party-line voting patterns.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volumen
$94,126Enddatum
20. Jan. 2029Markt eröffnet
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic control or narrow majorities in the House, combined with ongoing investigations into administration actions on foreign policy and domestic matters, have elevated the trader consensus to a 67% implied probability that articles of impeachment will pass before January 2029. Resolutions introduced in 2025 over issues including Iran-related statements, alongside calls for accountability from members of Congress, reflect partisan divisions and procedural opportunities in the current Congress. GOP internal frictions and upcoming electoral dynamics further contribute to expectations of continued pressure through the midterm cycle, though Senate conviction remains a separate threshold with lower historical success rates. Traders weigh these institutional and legislative factors against the structural barriers of party-line voting patterns.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volumen
$94,126Enddatum
20. Jan. 2029Markt eröffnet
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democratic control or narrow majorities in the House, combined with ongoing investigations into administration actions on foreign policy and domestic matters, have elevated the trader consensus to a 67% implied probability that articles of impeachment will pass before January 2029. Resolutions introduced in 2025 over issues including Iran-related statements, alongside calls for accountability from members of Congress, reflect partisan divisions and procedural opportunities in the current Congress. GOP internal frictions and upcoming electoral dynamics further contribute to expectations of continued pressure through the midterm cycle, though Senate conviction remains a separate threshold with lower historical success rates. Traders weigh these institutional and legislative factors against the structural barriers of party-line voting patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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