The 22nd Amendment's two-term limit on presidential elections creates formidable barriers to repeal, requiring two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-quarters of the states. As of mid-2026, the only related legislative effort—a House joint resolution introduced in January 2025 to permit three non-consecutive terms—remains stalled in committee with no floor action or companion Senate measure. Republican majorities fall short of the necessary supermajorities, while divided state legislatures further reduce prospects for swift ratification within the calendar year. Trader consensus at 95 percent "No" reflects these structural thresholds and the absence of recent catalysts such as committee advances or state-level momentum. Even so, an unexpected bipartisan breakthrough or accelerated state conventions before December could still shift the outcome before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
5% Chance
$12,999 Vol.
$12,999 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
5% Chance
$12,999 Vol.
$12,999 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The 22nd Amendment's two-term limit on presidential elections creates formidable barriers to repeal, requiring two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-quarters of the states. As of mid-2026, the only related legislative effort—a House joint resolution introduced in January 2025 to permit three non-consecutive terms—remains stalled in committee with no floor action or companion Senate measure. Republican majorities fall short of the necessary supermajorities, while divided state legislatures further reduce prospects for swift ratification within the calendar year. Trader consensus at 95 percent "No" reflects these structural thresholds and the absence of recent catalysts such as committee advances or state-level momentum. Even so, an unexpected bipartisan breakthrough or accelerated state conventions before December could still shift the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Volumen
$12,999Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The 22nd Amendment's two-term limit on presidential elections creates formidable barriers to repeal, requiring two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-quarters of the states. As of mid-2026, the only related legislative effort—a House joint resolution introduced in January 2025 to permit three non-consecutive terms—remains stalled in committee with no floor action or companion Senate measure. Republican majorities fall short of the necessary supermajorities, while divided state legislatures further reduce prospects for swift ratification within the calendar year. Trader consensus at 95 percent "No" reflects these structural thresholds and the absence of recent catalysts such as committee advances or state-level momentum. Even so, an unexpected bipartisan breakthrough or accelerated state conventions before December could still shift the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Volumen
$12,999Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 22nd Amendment's two-term limit on presidential elections creates formidable barriers to repeal, requiring two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-quarters of the states. As of mid-2026, the only related legislative effort—a House joint resolution introduced in January 2025 to permit three non-consecutive terms—remains stalled in committee with no floor action or companion Senate measure. Republican majorities fall short of the necessary supermajorities, while divided state legislatures further reduce prospects for swift ratification within the calendar year. Trader consensus at 95 percent "No" reflects these structural thresholds and the absence of recent catalysts such as committee advances or state-level momentum. Even so, an unexpected bipartisan breakthrough or accelerated state conventions before December could still shift the outcome before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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